Saturday 3 November 2012

Premium Mooriver Watch Club Service Diary 2012 (part 3)


This is a brief diary of the service provided to the Premium Mooriverwatch Club (launched officially on 1st November 2009), so that everyone can catch a glimpse of what this subscription service is about.

The diary went too long and had to divide them into three parts and there is a part of the diary gone missing, from June to August 2012, which is a shame.

=====================
13:58pm, 01-01-12, some reflections on 2012:


Finally, the lightening came on the last day of 2012, when Raffles screamed, "you are a chart trader!!!!" I realised that is exactly the reason why 2012 has been such a miserable year for the Mooriver Trader. I have betrayed the key strength in mooriver trading, by mixing in a lot of fundamentals into chart reading. I have decided to wrap up the 16th Series of fun bets at a huge loss of
3003 quid in red, 127 winners and 173 losers and 12 breakevens out of 312 selections. I will kick off a new series of fun bets, based purely on chart reading, nothing else!

Looking back at 2012, I realised time and again that I had been warned about my tendency to drift into fundamentals, by MS when he bought on a dive at Standard Charter Bank shares; and Lady S when she bought into banks at their lows and Raffles almost on a daily basis.

The daily trading should really be straight forward, it always starts with the battle of the pivot and the main chart should be the hourly chart. I recall so many times when my mind dashed into yearly and quarterly charts while the short-term charts were screaming at me, the trades were in the wrong way! I often turned a blind eye to the short-term momentums.

Well, this has got to be my New Year's resolution, going back to being a chart trader and stick to the charts only and keep my eyes open to the changes on the short-term charts.

Let's see how it goes.

PS Well done, Raffles, wrapped up another 6.5k profit on the last day of December, so that makes December a profitable month at 90k profit, wow! Keep it up, buddy.


01:01am, 01-01-13, lost that short, learnt another lesson there, so that is 3003 quid in red, 127 winners and 173 losers and 12 breakevens out of 312 selections for the 16th series.

09:48am, 31-12-12, highlighted my fun short 5890.

09:46am, 31-12-12, nicked 14 quid on the euro short, so that is 2903 quid in red, 127 winners and 172 losers and 12 breakevens out of 311 selections for the 16th series.


08:37am, 31-12-12, the most likely path for ftse:



08:16am, 31-12-12, SUK2:



06:49am, 31-12-12, limit on ftse long hit at 5890, so that is 2917 quid in red, 126 winners and 172 losers and 12 breakevens out of 310 selections for the 16th series.

21:13pm, 30-12-12, highlighted my fun short 13206 as a hedge on GS.

12:35pm, 29-12-12, some weekly reflections:

"


To be honest, this is the worst year in the Club's 3-year history and this is the darkest moment for me in terms of a mooriver trader, while I seem to be getting better as
a mooriver watcher. This duality role has done its utmost damages to me in the past 12 months. I think maybe this duality problem is as difficult as the yankie Cliff problem, almost unsolvable. While I get more confident and better as a mooriver watcher, particularly in terms of medium and long-term outlooks, I am getting worse and worse in short-term trading, with the fun bets series deeply in red. In there, in this unsolvable duality problem, there must be a lesson for me to learn.

For 2012, the biggest winner is our Raffles, who netted 83k profit for December alone. While he likes to thank me for my nudges, he triumphs mainly on his own unique trading system, certainly the Rgaps look a useful hunting ground for him. Our MS has been a steady winner. Our Lady S is a bit disappointed, but still manages a few smiles in her share trading. And the silence in the Club says a lot about the rest of the members. At the height of this Club's history, I had almost 60 members, now it is a matter of who goes next and who stays on the last!

Lets have a look at my forecasts and outcomes:


FTSE100: 5980-5900 (actual: 5999-5852, correctly forecast a bearish week, the mooriver watcher is usually quite reliable!);

SPX500: 1438-1378 (actual: 1430-1387);

Barclays: 263-252 pence (actual: 269-261 pence);

BP: 437-423 pence (actual: 434-424 pence);

Gold: $1682-$1636 (Actual: $1668-$1651);

Nymex: $89.40-$.85.40 (actual: $91.50-$88.20);

Euro/dollar: $1.3306-$1.2930 (actual: $1.3284-$1.3166).

There is not a lot I can complain about the Mooriverwatcher, if I am purely a mooriverwatcher, I will be almost perfect, lol, but...

Have a nice weekend, folks."

21:50pm, 28-12-12, highlighted my fun long 5885 on GS.

21:30pm, 28-12-12, lost that one too, so that is 2924 quid in red, 125 winners and 172 losers and 12 breakevens out of 309 selections for the 16th series.

13:07pm, 28-12-12, highlighted my fun long 13010 on GS.

12:59pm, 28-12-12, lost that fun long, so that is 2824 quid in red, 125 winners and 171 losers and 12 breakevens out of 308 selections for the 16th series.

14:36pm, 27-12-12, highlighted my fun long 5973.

14:34pm, 27-12-12, chopped for a tenner, so that is 2724 quid in red, 125 winners and 170 losers and 12 breakevens out of 307 selections for the 16th series.

06:58am, 27-12-12, highlighted my fun long on spx500 1419.5.

06:33am, 27-12-12, bailing out of the ftse short at a total interest cost of a tenner, so that is 2714 quid in red, 125 winners and 169 losers and 12 breakevens out of 306 selections for the 16th series.

10:50am, 22-12-12, some weekly reflections below:

"What a week our Moostar trader Raffles has had! And he just shows how members with their own trading systems and discipline in place can take full advantage of my mooriver nudging
service/emails whereby I highlight some of my findings on the charts. Sometimes, all it takes is a change of viewpoint to suddenly see a golden trading opportunity, like the one on Thursday night
before the plunge. That was perhaps my best nudge ever. Lets have a look at Raffles emails to me, which is heart-warming to me:

The first email on 18th December:

Hi


















I am not trading again this year and will go out on that high. Having made over 50K in the past 7 days. That can take a lifetime to make in the market.
Raffles
Happy Christmas to you and your family and a prosperous bullish new year.
PS I had over a 100 hits on my website directed from iii, from your post. I do not know if there were any sales. BUT the Daily Telegraph featured our hunting map in the Saturday supplement (they never told me) and orders are flooding in from it. Business is good.

Berkeley Studio Ltd
Telephone: 01568 770 117


The second email after that eventful night:
Well what a night I had!!!
When you e-mailed I went short 1000 MCH S&P at 1437.63 and placed a limit of 1422.63. Off to bed I went only to be woken up at 1.18 by all my limit alarms going off at once. That position closed.
I had set up a long order at 1396 limit 20 points (March). This was filled and closed for 20 points on 1000 lots within 5 minutes!!!
I was awake now and immediately placed another long 1000 for 3 points closed again very quickly. Then short for 3 points, but lost that one for 2.5 points.
That was far too much excitement for me at 2am, so I went back to sleep.
This morning went long 1000 MCH just before London opened for 3 points and closed successfully.
NOW I really am going to give it a break.
Raffles
PS That was 38.5K overnight!
Thank you for your nudge!!!!"

============
So overall profit on the week 88.5k, what a trader, Raffles! Well done, buddy, you shine for our mooriver Club. The key to his success is that he has a solid trading system
in place and lots of self-discipline and he keeps an open-mind towards my nudges and analyse them in his own ways to reach for his own trading decisions. That is really
the essence of this mooriver service.
=================
Lets have a look at my weekly forecasts and the actual outcomes:
FTSE100: 6060-5910 (Actual: 5987-5849);
SPX500: 1412-1518 (actual: 1388-1451);
Euro/dollar: $1.3400-$1.3150 (actual: $1.3308-$1.3144);
Nymex: $96.20-$85.50 (actual: $90.54-$86.49);
Gold: $1696-$1665(actual: $1703-$1636);
Barclays: 281-256 pence (actual: 270-253 pence);
BP: 419-438 pence (actual: 423-434 pence).
Well, correctly pinpointed that it was going to be a bullish week and on Thursday night, also alerted about the downside possibility. The Mooriverwatcher has always
outperformed the moorivertrader, which is still the issue to be tackled in 2013. But let's share Raffles' success and draw strength in the mooriver nudges. I am sure
trading will be eventually sorted as well.
Have a great weekend, now that we have passed the Doomsday and there is another one coming only after 5000 years, haha.
Take care."

10:08am, 21-12-12, what a night our flying Moostar Raffles just had:

"
Well what a night I had!!!
When you e-mailed I went short 1000 MCH S&P at 1437.63 and placed a limit of 1422.63. Off to bed I went only to be woken up at 1.18 by all my limit alarms going off at once. That position closed.
I had set up a long order at 1396 limit 20 points (March). This was filled and closed for 20 points on 1000 lots within 5 minutes!!!
I was awake now and immediately placed another long 1000 for 3 points closed again very quickly. Then short for 3 points, but lost that one for 2.5 points.
That was far too much excitement for me at 2am, so I went back to sleep.
This morning went long 1000 MCH just before London opened for 3 points and closed successfully.
NOW I really am going to give it a break.
Raffles
PS That was 38.5K overnight!
Thank you for your nudge!!!!"

09:00am, 21-12-12, it is the end of the old paradigm, the Empire and the birth of the new paradigm, suk2 says it all:



21:48pm, 20-12-12, spx500, note, this is almost a fib perfect pullback for Wave 2, 23.6% is 1446, so almost perfect:



16:57, 20-12-12, watch Apple shares, if it fails to build a double bottom against 500 dollars, it will open the floodgate on SPX500:



19:30pm, 19-12-12, a return to the long-term trendline will see Apple getting close to 267 dollars:



11:35am, 19-12-12, spx500 looks toppish, having completed a 5 wave crossing in an upstream moo river:



06:02am, 19-12-12, ftse100: think we will take a breather before attacking 6000‏



21:23pm, 18-12-12, my latest thoughts on Apple shares:



21:11pm, 18-12-12, our highflying Moostar trader Raffles has decided to put his feet up for the rest of 2012, well, he deserves it, here is his heart-warming message:

"
Hi
I am not trading again this year and will go out on that high. Having made over 50K in the past 7 days. That can take a lifetime to make in the market.
Raffles
Happy Christmas to you and your family and a prosperous bullish new year.
PS I had over a 100 hits on my website directed from iii, from your post. I do not know if there were any sales. BUT the Daily Telegraph featured our hunting map in the Saturday supplement (they never told me) and orders are flooding in from it. Business is good.

Berkeley Studio Ltd
Telephone: 01568 770 117
 

19:01pm, 18-12-12, that is all the bull fun for this week, now Apple might be going down to fill that gap:



18:35pm, 18-12-12, highlighted my fun short 5950 on GS.

17:12pm, 18-12-12, nicked 2 quid, so that is 2704 quid in red, 125 winners and 168 losers and 12 breakevens out of 305 selections for the 16th series.

16:47pm, 18-12-12, a winning note from our Raffles:

"
OMG
Sold all 2000 lots March SPX at top tick of 1437.88. Profit £40,000.
Wow that felt good!
Happy Christmas no more for me.
Now how to spend it!!!
Raffles doing a jig!!"

12:27pm, 18-12-12, highlighted my fun long 5936.

11:04am, 18-12-12, chopped for a tenner overall cost, so that is 2706 quid in red, 124 winners and 168 losers and 12 breakevens out of 304 selections for the 16th series.

08:23am, 18-12-12, almost last chance for the gold bulls to jump off the Titanic:



07:06am, 18-12-12, Apple has got a lot of Rgaps to fill:



04:58am, 18-12-12, some of my current thoughts on S & P500 and FTSE100:





16:42pm, 17-12-12, my latest thoughts on ftse100:



13:33pm,17-12-12, think this mornings action was corrective:



09:12am, 17-12-12, time to bounce to fill that Rgap up there, I think:

 


09:00am, 17-12-12, this Wave C on ftse is a bit nasty:



07:42am, 17-12-12, Apple shares: time to rocket back to fill the gap and beyond?!



05:22am, 17-12-12, latest thoughts on ftse:



19:53pm, 15-12-12, some weekly reflections:

"


We wobbled and didn't quite fully take advantage of the tight-range yoyoing, as we started the week with a terrible batch of weekly studies, based on one jittery moment of mine. It is hard to stick to being a bull even in a bull market, lol.

Our MS is keeping on the sideline, quitely cleverly and our Raffles is still battling the markets, our Lady S is keep it all purplely bullish, the best colour for Christmas apparently!

Lets have a look at my forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE100: 5900-5706 (actual: 5963-5891);
SPX500: 1430-1364 (actual: 1439-1411);
Euro/dollar: $1.2620-$1.2970 (actual: $1.2886-$1.3173);
Nymex: $87.03-$81.08 (actual: $87.68-$85.21);
Gold: $1714-$1617 (actual: $1723-$1690);
Barclays: 234-251 pence (actual: 247-256 pence);
BP: 426-404 pence (actual: 432-424 pence).

Well, it was a whitewash, really, one terrible jittery moment leading to a wrong weekly vision.

Hopefully, the studies this weekend are better.

Have a nice weekend, folks."

10:32am, 14-12-12, highlighted my fun long 5925.

10:29am, 14-12-12, nicked 12 quid, so that is 2696 quid in red, 124 winners and 167 losers and 12 breakevens out of 303 selections for the 16th series.

09:08am, 14-12-12, highlighted my fun short 5929.

09:04am, 14-12-12, banked 22 quid, so that is  2706 quid in red, 123 winners and 167 losers and 12 breakevens out of 302 selections for the 16th series.

19:36pm, 13-12-12, highlighted my fun long 5917.

19:22pm, 13-12-12, nicked 8 quid, so that is 2728 quid in red, 122 winners and 167 losers and 12 breakevens out of 301 selections for the 16th series.

18:18pm, 13-12-12, chopped for 30 quid and highlighted my fun short 5917, so that is 2736 quid in red, 121 winners and 167 losers and 12 breakevens out of 300 selections for the 16th series.

15:56pm, 13-12-12, highlighted my fun long 5933.

15:52pm, 13-12-12, chopped for 6 quid, so that is 2706 quid in red, 121 winners and 166 losers and 12 breakevens out of 299 selections for the 16th series.

12:47pm, 13-12-12, bailed out for a tenner loss and highlighted my fun short 5930, so that is 2700 quid in red, 121 winners and 165 losers and 12 breakevens out of 298 selections for the 16th series.

16:31pm, 11-12-12, highlighted my fun long 5932.

16:29pm, 11-12-12, chopped for 24 quid, so that is 2690 quid in red, 121 winners and 164 losers and 12 breakevens out of 297 selections for the 16th series.

07:05am, 10-12-12, highlighted my fun short 5916.

10:40am, 08-12-12, some weekly reflections here:

"What a week, well, not a lot happened, that was the problem, was expecting a bit shooting out of the 5930 handle, but we failed to do that. Just one fun bet and it is a winner,
ironically. Had it been a bigger range week, could have banked a bit more. Let's see about that in the coming week.

Our Raffles had a profitable week, but was expecting to be a jackpot week, in the end, he still banked some 5.6k profit, not bad for a week's ups and downs.

Lets have a look at my forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5850-6070 (actual: 5852-5925, well pinned the downside, shame about the lack of upside!);

Euro/dollar: $1.2970-$1.3300 (actual: $1.2877-$1.3127);

Nymex: $88.96-$95 (actual: $85.69-$90.33);

Gold: $1715-$1650 (actual: $1723-$1685);

SPX500: 1398-1451 (actual: 1398-1425, pinned the bottom, or pinched the bottom, what a shame about the upside for our Raffles);

Barclays: 246-260 pence (actual: 243-252 pence);

BP: 427-442 pence (actual: 421-435 pence).

The indices should let us down there. I blame the North Korean rocket! Lets see how far it goes this time!

Have a nice weekend, folks."

18:08pm, 07-12-12, banked 30 quid after divi and interest payment, so that is 2666 quid in red, 121 winners and 163 losers and 12 breakevens out of 296 selections for the 16th series.

08:03am, 03-12-12, highlighted my fun long 5885.

09:29am, 01-12-12, some weekly reflections below:

"




Well, it is December and November's dump turned out to be a healthy pullback for the bulls and now Santa is in town, all the way up from here.

Let's have a look at my forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE100: 5850-5645 (actual: 5905-5754);
SPX500: 1410-1364 (actual: 1421-1385);
Euro/dollar: $1.2994-$1.2804 (actual: $1.3027-$1.2880);
Nymex: $91.70-$88.20 (actual: $88.99-$85.37);
Gold: $1780-$1704(actual: $1752-$1706);
Barclays: 260-240 pence (actual: 248-238 pence);
BP: 440-420 pence (actual: 436-419 pence).

It has been a difficult period for the mooriverwatcher, from here onwards, things should get a bit easier.

Have a nice weekend, folks."

17:42pm, 30-11-12, chopped for 20 quid, so that is 2696 quid in red, 120 winners and 163 losers and 12 breakevens out of 295 selections for the 16th series.

16:06pm, 30-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5887.

15:35pm, 30-11-12, chopped for 18 quid, so that is 2676 quid in red, 120 winners and 162 losers and 12 breakevens out of 294 selections for the 16th series.

13:03pm, 30-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5880.

12:51pm, 30-11-12, banked 32 quid, so that is 2658 quid in red, 120 winners and 161 losers and 12 breakevens out of 293 selections for the 16th series.

06:39am, 30-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5864.

15:07pm, 29-11-12, banked 68 quid, so that is 2690 quid in red, 119 winners and 161 losers and 12 breakevens out of 292 selections for the 16th series.

07:26am, 29-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5826.

20:32pm, 28-11-12, lost that one, so that is 2758 quid in red, 118 winners and 161 losers and 12 breakevens out of 291 selections for the 16th series.

14:15pm, 28-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5774.

10:26am, 28-11-12, banked 40 quid, so that is 2658 quid in red, 119 winners and 160 losers and 12 breakevens out of 291 selections for the 16th series.

14:59pm, 27-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5803 on GS.

12:22pm, 27-11-12, banked 16 quid, so that is 2698 quid in red, 118 winners and 160 losers and 12 breakevens out of 290 selections for the 16th series.

08:07am, 27-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5821.

10:34am, 26-11-12, banked 46 quid, so that is 2714 quid in red, 117 winners and 160 losers and 12 breakevens out of 289 selections for the 16th series.

11:36am, 25-11-12, some weekly reflections:

"

Is Santa in town? Is 2012 the same as the years before, where a selloff in November initiated a Santa rally in the following months into the early part of the new year?

Let's have a look at my forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE100: 5710-5490 (actual: 5645-5839);
SPX500: 1387-1340 (actual: 1410-1364);
Euro/dollar: $1.2690-$1.2980 (actual: $1.2737-$1.2991);
Nymex: $88.20-$85.20 (actual: $89.80-$86.18);
Gold: $1739-$1690 (actual: $1755-$1716);
Barclays: 228-240 pence (actual: 237-256 pence);
BP: 422-403 pence (actual: 422-437 pence).

Well, think I was on the wrong wave length with the markets."

15:42pm, 23-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5820 on GS.

15:12pm, 23-11-12, lost that one, so that is 2760 quid in red, 116 winners and 160 losers and 12 breakevens out of 288 selections for the 16th series.

07:05am, 22-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5778 for 5729 target.

06:04am, 22-11-12, lost the short for 116 quid, so that is 2660 quid in red, 116 winners and 159 losers and 12 breakevens out of 287 selections for the 16th series.

13:38pm, 20-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5732.

09:18am, 20-11-12, came out at breakeven, so that is 2544 quid in red, 116 winners and 158 losers and 12 breakevens out of 286 selections for the 16th series.

15:56pm, 19-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5720.

15:54pm, 19-11-12, lost that one, so that is 2544 quid in red, 116 winners and 158 losers and 11 breakevens out of 285 selections for the 16th series.

12:37pm, 19-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5674.

12:35pm, 19-11-12, banked 14 quid, so that is 2444 quid in red, 116 winners and 157 losers and 11 breakevens out of 284 selections for the 16th series.

10:55am, 19-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5665.

10:53am, 19-11-12, lost that one, so that is 2458 quid in red, 115 winners and 157 losers and 11 breakevens out of 283 selections for the 16th series.

09:42am, 19-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5651.

09:38am, 19-11-12, bailed out at a loss of 2 quid, so that is 2430 quid in red, 115 winners and 156 losers and 11 breakevens out of 282 selections for the 16th series.

08:27am, 19-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5652.

08:12am, 19-11-12, nicked 12 quid, so that is 2428 quid in red, 115 winners and 156 losers and 11 breakevens out of 281 selections for the 16th series.


07:40am, 19-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5660.

11:37pm, 17-11-12, some weekly reflections below:

"





The three fake peaks are really the killers and bull traps. The bear run has finally kicked off. November is a dumping month, but it could also be that turning month for the Santa rally. Don't think it is going to go all the way down just yet, though that dooms day clock is ticking towards 12.12.12, well, be happy everyday while we can, and make it worth the while while we are here, lol.

Let's have a look at my forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE100: 5764-5490 (actual: 5795-5598);
SPX500: 1307-1380 (actual: 1343-1389);
Euro/dollar: $1.2713-$1.2490 (actual: $1.2802-$1.2662);
Nymex: $89.60-$82.30 (actual: $87.37-$84.59);
Gold: $1732-$1672(actual: $1738-$1705);
Barclays: 231-184 pence (actual: 242-227 pence);
BP: 430-403 pence (actual: 435-416 pence).

Have a great weekend, folks."

21:02pm, 16-11-12, chopped for 8 quid, so that is  2440 quid in red, 114 winners and 156 losers and 11 breakevens out of 280 selections for the 16th series.

12:39pm, 16-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5641 on GS.

10:20am, 16-11-12, banked 104 quid, so that is 2432 quid in red, 114 winners and 155 losers and 11 breakevens out of 279 selections for the 16th series.

13:43pm, 15-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5688 on GS.

12:44pm, 15-11-12, banked 12 quid, so that is 2536 quid in red, 113 winners and 155 losers and 11 breakevens out of 278 selections for the 16th series.

09:11am, 15-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5696 on GS.

09:07am, 15-11-12, banked 34 quid, so that is 2548 quid in red, 112 winners and 155 losers and 11 breakevens out of 277 selections for the 16th series.

07:20am, 15-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5685.

06:20am, 14-11-12, out at breakeven, so that is 2582 quid in red, 111 winners and 155 losers and 11 breakevens out of 276 selections for the 16th series.

20:24pm, 14-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5685.

20:21pm, 14-11-12,  chopped for 36 quid, so that is 2582 quid in red, 111 winners and 155 losers and 10 breakevens out of 275 selections for the 16th series.

19:23pm, 14-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5709.

19:19pm, 14-11-12, lost that long, so that is 2546 quid in red, 111 winners and 154 losers and 10 breakevens out of 274 selections for the 16th series.

09:03am, 14-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5758.

18:40pm, 13-11-12, chopped for 8 quid, so that is 2446 quid in red, 111 winners and 153 losers and 10 breakevens out of 273 selections for the 16th series.

17:52pm, 13-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5767.

16:45pm, 13-11-12, nicked 7 quid, so that is 2437 quid in red, 111 winners and 152 losers and 10 breakevens out of 272 selections for the 16th series.

16:18pm, 13-11-12, highlighted my fun short 12881.

15:20pm, 13-11-12, banked 70 quid, so that is 2444 quid in red, 110 winners and 152 losers and 10 breakevens out of 271 selections for the 16th series.

11:17am, 13-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5715.

11:09am, 13-11-12, chopped for 6 quid, so that is 2514 quid in red, 109 winners and 152 losers and 10 breakevens out of 270 selections for the 16th series.

08:27am, 13-11-12, highlighted my fun long 12738.

08:22am, 13-11-12, lost that long, so that is 2508 quid in red, 109 winners and 151 losers and 10 breakevens out of 269 selections for the 16th series.

12:20pm, 12-11-12, if you are going to the Cheltenham Festival, you might get your pictures signed by our legendary ex-city trader Raffles, who lost nearly 300k on Black Wednesday and got it all back on Friday:  http://www.berkeleystudio.co.uk/.  Watch out for him, the one with a big smile on his face with lots of lovely sporting pictures about!

08:13am, 12-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5773.

06:17am, 12-11-12, chopped the short as Asia was not black as expectedly, so that is  2408 quid in red, 109 winners and 150 losers and 10 breakevens out of 268 selections for the 16th series.

13:21pm, 10-11-12, some weekly reflections as below:

"
The plunge came in the end in the past week. Perhaps I was shouting about it for too long that I failed to cash in the plunge myself.

And for this week, our shining Moostar goes to our ultra-consistent MS, who put in a solid winning week despite the turmoils in the markets. Well done, mate.

Let's have a look at my forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE100: 5880-5600 (actual: 5923-5713);
SPX500: 1420-1377 (actual: 1435-1367);
Gold: $1580-$1680(actual: $1673-$1739);
Nymex: $87.75-$82.20 (actual: $89.22-$84.06);
Barclays: 241-224 pence (actual: 246-227 pence);
BP: 445-418 pence (actual: 448-423 pence);
Euro/dollar: $1.2640-$1.2910 (actual: $1.2690-$1.2876).

This duality is not working well between mooriver trader and mooriver watcher, something is going to give, eventually. Meanwhile, I struggle onwards and upwards.

Have a nice weekend, folks."

11:06am, 09-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5746.

11:00am, 09-11-12, chopped oil long for 40 quid, so that is 2358 quid in red, 109 winners and 149 losers and 10 breakevens out of 267 selections for the 16th series.

10:58am, 09-11-12, lost 40 quid, so that is 2318 quid in red, 109 winners and 148 losers and 10 breakevens out of 266 selections for the 16th series.

08:57am, 09-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5766.

08:37am, 08-11-12, highlighted my fun long 8506.

08:35am, 08-11-12, chopped for 16 quid, so that is 2278 quid in red, 109 winners and 147 losers and 10 breakevens out of 265 selections for the 16th series.

08:17am, 08-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5806.

08:14am, 08-11-12, lost 32 quid, so that is 2262 quid in red, 109 winners and 146 losers and 10 breakevens out of 264 selections for the 16th series.

08:05am, 08-11-12, highlighted my fun long 8512.

07:20am, 08-11-12, chopped for a tenner, so that is 2230 quid in red, 109 winners and 145 losers and 10 breakevens out of 263 selections for the 16th series.

15:44pm, 07-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5814.

15:42pm, 07-11-12, lost that one, so that is  2220 quid in red, 109 winners and 144 losers and 10 breakevens out of 262 selections for the 16th series.

14:50pm, 07-11-12, highlighted my fun long 8646.

14:35pm, 07-11-12, lost 34 quid, so that is 2120 quid in red, 109 winners and 143 losers and 10 breakevens out of 261 selections for the 16th series.

14:28pm, 07-11-12, highlighted my fun long 8684.

14:02pm, 07-11-12, lost 30 quid, so that is 2086 quid in red, 109 winners and 142 losers and 10 breakevens out of 260 selections for the 16th series.

13:19pm, 07-11-12, highlighted my fun long 8750.

13:09pm, 07-11-12, chopped for 31 quid, so that is  2056 quid in red, 109 winners and 141 losers and 10 breakevens out of 259 selections for the 16th series

12:56pm, 07-11-12, highlighted my fun long 8761.

12:28pm, 07-11-12, lost that one, so that is 2025 quid in red, 109 winners and 140 losers and 10 breakevens out of 258 selections for the 16th series.

08:50am, 07-11-12, highlighted my fun long 8834.

08:33am, 07-11-12, banked 44 quid, so that is 1925 quid in red, 109 winners and 139 losers and 10 breakevens out of 257 selections for the 16th series.

07:30am, 07-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5912.

19:37pm, 06-11-12, banked 48 quid, so that is 1969 quid in red, 108 winners and 139 losers and 10 breakevens out of 256 selections for the 16th series.

19:21pm, 06-11-12, highlighted my fun short 8873.

17:58pm, 06-11-12, banked 100 quid, so that is 2017 quid in red, 107 winners and 139 losers and 10 breakevens out of 255 selections for the 16th series.

16:53pm, 06-11-12, highlighted my fun long 8692.


16:43pm, 06-11-12, lost 112 quid, so that is 2117 quid in red, 106 winners and 139 losers and 10 breakevens out of 254 selections for the 16th series.

15:30pm, 05-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5840.

15:29pm, 05-11-12, chopped for a tenner, so that is 2005 quid in red, 106 winners and 138 losers and 10 breakevens out of 253 selections for the 16th series.

13:59pm, 05-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5845.

13:56pm, 05-11-12, bailing out again for a loss of 12 quid, so that is 1995 quid in red, 106 winners and 137 losers and 10 breakevens out of 252 selections for the 16th series.

12:01pm, 05-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5836.

11:56am, 05-11-12, chopped for 18 quid, so that is 1983 quid in red, 106 winners and 136 losers and 10 breakevens out of 251 selections for the 16th series.

08:07am, 05-11-12, highlighted my fun long 5840.

08:05am, 04-11-12, done all the reports, please check out the reports on BP and Barclays on III, as this blog has been messed up by the over-lengthy diary that it will be difficult for you to find the reports if I publish them here. 

12:55pm, 03-11-2012, some weekly reflections:

"
The thing I like about our cool Moostar trader Raffles is that he knows when to say No to trading as he took Friday out after having had another cracking week, despite a hiccup earlier on (probably due to some of my wayward readings of the markets
this week). He is doing well and our MS is steadily settling into trading after his holidays.

Lets have a look at the forecasts and actual outcomes:

FTSE100: 5810-6025 (actual: 5762-5892);
SPX500: 1455-1410 (actual: 1436-1398);
Euro/dollar: $1.2938-$1.3325 (actual: $1.2822-$1.3021);
Gold: $1711-$1780 (actual: $1727-$1675);
Nymex: $86.10-$96.80 (actual: $87.40-$84.67);
Barclays: 225-274 pence (actual: 226-245 pence);
BP: 432-452 pence (actual: 424-450 pence).

Got it wrong really.

Have a nice weekend."

12:05pm, 03-11-2012, will be compiling the weekly studies shortly, having sorted out this blog, which crashed due to the extra length of the diary 2012.
 

Premium Mooriver Watch Club Service Diary 2012 (part 2)


This is a brief diary of the service provided to the Premium Mooriverwatch Club (launched officially on 1st November 2009), so that everyone can catch a glimpse of what this subscription service is about.

=========== ===

20:24pm, 02-11-12, banked 42 quid, so that is 1965 quid in red, 106 winners and 135 losers and 10 breakevens out of 250 selections for the 16th series.

20:13pm, 02-11-12, from our super cool moostar Raffles:

" day off after success – otherwise it goes to your head and you loss it all. The RGap seems to have worked again, they are good! Raffs PS had a little short at the gap only held until 1420 though. - Not at my desk today been in our paddocks clearing Ragwort and tree stumps, great sunny day."

11:57am, 02-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5853, on GS.

07:46am, 02-11-12, chopped for 18 quid, so that is 2007 quid in red, 105 winners and 135 losers and 10 breakevens out of 249 selections for the 16th series.

14:10pm, 01-11-12, our Raffles is a legend, here is more from him:

"Date: Thu, 1 Nov 2012 14:07:13 +0000

-->-->

Hi

Wow!

What a scream!

Went long 500 DEC S&P at 1407.88 12:34

Sold 500 DEC S&P at 1418.13 14:01

Profit: £5,125

Job done

Raffles"

14:02pm, 01-11-12, highlighted my fun short 5845.

13:36pm, 01-11-12, lost that dow short, so that is 1989 quid in red, 105 winners and 134 losers and 10 breakevens out of 248 selections for the 16th series.

20:23pm, 31-10-12, some feedback from our moostar trader Raffles:


Well after yesterdays dither my me I have managed to make it up and a small profit today.

Though if I had had the nerve to stick with the shorts ( as per foretold by you) the result would have been +£3,500 , oh well!

Now I think back to basics again and discipline. Small trades and more analysis.

Raffles "

16:46pm, 31-10-12, highlighted my fun short 13056.

16:35pm, 31-10-12, lost that one, so that is 1889 quid in red, 105 winners and 133 losers and 10 breakevens out of 247 selections for the 16th series.

13:46pm, 31-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5828.

13:20pm, 31-10-12, chopped for 4 quid, so that is 1789 quid in red, 105 winners and 132 losers and 10 breakevens out of 246 selections for the 16th series.

12:02pm, 31-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5835.

11:20am, 31-10-12, chopped for 124 quid, so that is 1785 quid in red, 105 winners and 131 losers and 10 breakevens out of 245 selections for the 16th series.

06:26am, 30-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5781.

06:15am, 30-10-12, out for 3 quid loss, so that is 1661 quid in red, 105 winners and 130 losers and 10 breakevens out of 244 selections for the 16th series.

20:02pm, 29-10-12, highlighted my fun long 8523 on GS.

18:28pm, 29-10-12, banked 48 quid, so that is 1658 quid in red, 105 winners and 129 losers and 10 breakevens out of 243 selections for the 16th series.

16:56pm, 29-10-12, highlighted my fun long 8507 on GS.

16:49pm, 29-10-2012, chopped for 52 quid, so that is 1706 quid in red, 104 winners and 129 losers and 10 breakevens out of 242 selections for the 16th series.

21:13pm, 28-10-12, highlighted my fun long 12948.

10:10am, 27-10-12, some weekly reflections as below:

"

Well, our Moostar Raffles has had another good week, but it is sufficient to say it is quite an up and down week as I witnessed his orders dashing into deep red, before reversing back into profit. It is not an easy success story for everyone, not everyone's cup of tea really. The mythical path to sustainable trading success remains elusive. So well done, Raffles, but be very careful from here onwards, November and December could see two huge range swings. Success breeds greed, greed drives traders into a kind of invincibility, which ends in bigger failures. That has always been my story so far anyway, that is when I had trading successes, lol.

This is the email from our Raffles:

"

Hi

I am now officially flat no positions.

Sold all 500 for a profit of £4,257.30

So this week profit is £5,150 approx.

Maybe time to give it a rest or it maybe another short term loan from the market, you know how it is!

Raffles"

Lets have a look at my forecasts and actual outcomes:

FTSE100: 5915 and 5540 (actual: 5911-5744);

SPX500: 1445-1368 (actual: 1439-1400);

Nymex: $91-$82.90 (actual: $91.28-$84.95);

Gold: $1722-$1560 (actual: $1730-$1699);

Euro/dollar: $1.2740-$1.3022(actual:$1.2883- $1.3084);

Barclays: 237-210 pence (actual: 240-228 pence);

BP: 460-437 pence (actual: 459-427 pence).

As I pinned it down as a down week, so getting them tops right is sufficent for the past week. So still very much the world's best weekly forecaster, haha, probably through lack of competition, if anything!

Have a nice weekend, folks."

21:44pm, 26-10-12, banked 24 quid, so that is 1654 quid in red, 104 winners and 128 losers and 10 breakevens out of 241 selections for the 16th series.

16:53pm, 26-10-12, highlighted my fun long 8582.

16:32pm, 26-10-12, chopped for 19 quid, so that is 1678 quid in red, 103 winners and 128 losers and 10 breakevens out of 240 selections for the 16th series.

16:19pm, 26-10-12, highlighted my fun long 8610.

15:54pm, 26-10-12, chopped for 26 quid, so that is 1659 quid in red, 103 winners and 127 losers and 10 breakevens out of 239 selections for the 16th series.

14:32pm, 26-10-12, highlighted my fun long 8592.

13:25pm, 26-10-12, banked 48 quid, so that is 1633 quid in red, 103 winners and 126 losers and 10 breakevens out of 238 selections for the 16th series.

11:39am, 26-10-12, highlighted my fun long 8528.

10:38am, 26-10-12, come out at breakeven, so that is 1681 quid in red, 102 winners and 126 losers and 10 breakevens out of 237 selections for the 16th series.

06:26am, 26-10-12, highlighted my fun long 8528.

05:55am, 26-10-12, lost that one, so that is 1681 quid in red, 102 winners and 126 losers and 9 breakevens out of 236 selections for the 16th series.

08:06am, 25-10-12, highlighted my fun long 8608.

07:19am, 25-10-12, banked 22 quid, so that is 1581 quid in red, 102 winners and 125 losers and 9 breakevens out of 235 selections for the 16th series.

14:34, 24-10-12, highlighted my fun short 8642.

14:31pm, 24-10-12, lost that one for 48 quid, so that is 1603 quid in red, 101 winners and 125 losers and 9 breakevens out of 235 selections for the 16th series.

13:54pm, 24-10-12, highlighted my fun long 8668.

11:33am, 24-10-12, nicked a quid, so that is 1555 quid in red, 101 winners and 124 losers and 9 breakevens out of 234 selections for the 16th series.

09:02am, 24-10-12, highlighted my fun short 8695.

08:52am, 24-10-12, banked 17 quid, need another think, so that is 1556 quid in red, 100 winners and 124 losers and 9 breakevens out of 233 selections for the 16th series.

08:19am, 24-10-12, highlighted my fun short 8734.

08:05am, 24-10-12, banked 54 quid, so that is 1573 quid in red, 99 winners and 124 losers and 9 breakevens out of 232 selections for the 16th series.

19:33pm, 23-10-12, highlighted my fun long 8668, limit 88.

19:26pm, 23-10-12, got chopped, so that is 1627 quid in red, 98 winners and 124 losers and 9 breakevens out of 231 selections for the 16th series.

19:13pm, 23-10-12, highlighted my fun short 8603, limit 85.

18:38pm, 23-10-12, chopped for 28 quid, so that is 1580 quid in red, 98 winners and 123 losers and 9 breakevens out of 230 selections for the 16th series.

12:32pm, 23-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5818.

11:50pm, 23-10-12, banked 146 quid, so that is 1552 quid in red, 98 winners and 122 losers and 9 breakevens out of 229 selections for the 16th series.

20:17pm, 22-10-12, highlighted my fun short 8888, limit 87.

19:59pm, 22-10-12, lost that one, so that is 1698 quid in red, 97 winners and 122 losers and 9 breakevens out of 228 selections for the 16th series.

16:41pm, 22-10-12, highlighted my fun long 8982.

16:38pm, 22-10-12, banked 40 quid, so that is 1598 quid in red, 97 winners and 121 losers and 9 breakevens out of 227 selections for the 16th series.

15:31pm, 22-10-12, highlighted my fun short 9023.

15:28pm, 22-10-12, chopped for 24 quid, so that is 1638 quid in red, 96 winners and 121 losers and 9 breakevens out of 226 selections for the 16th series.

15:03pm, 22-10-12, highlighted my fun long 9042.

14:12pm, 22-10-12, lost that one, so that is 1614 quid in red, 96 winners and 120 losers and 9 breakevens out of 225 selections for the 16th series.

13:05pm, 22-10-12, highlighted my fun long 9110.

13:02pm, 22-10-12, banked 4 quid, so that is 1514 quid in red, 96 winners and 119 losers and 9 breakevens out of 224 selections for the 16th series.

10:51am, 22-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5903.

10:17am, 22-10-12, lost 48 quid, so that is 1518 quid in red, 95 winners and 119 losers and 9 breakevens out of 223 selections for the 16th series.

08:23am, 22-10-12, highlighted my fun short 9072.

08:19am, 22-10-12, lost 22 quid, so that is 1470 quid in red, 95 winners and 1187 losers and 9 breakevens out of 222 selections for the 16th series.

08:03am, 22-10-12, highlighted my fun long 9086.

08:12am, 20-10-12, some weekly reflections:

"

Well, while our Moostar MS has had another solid trading week, I am afraid he has been outshone by our Raffles, who came out

of his hybernation with all guns blazing. Here is his email to me to reflect upon the week he has had:

=============

Hi

I thought that was why you woke me up earlier in the week.

Well having dithered long then short then long then short (+£350, -£275, -£750, +£7,456), but I very nearly froze! But finally went to the dark side at 13:15 today. Good result in the end.

S&P looks like a bit more down to 1418 cash, then we bounce and Santa kicks in. That is only if we go their immediately, otherwise with a bounce we can go lower. BUT on balance I think we will set off north from around 1412.

But as we all know it is all in the timing.

Happy weekend

Raffles

==================

Well done, Raffles, you have beaten the Market yet again! Now, please go back to look after your customers in their busy Christmas shopping spree: http://www.berkeleystudio.co.uk/. I will wake you up again for another challenge either because SPX has gone back near 1470ish or in November, when

we are ready for the Santa rally. Between now and then (in November), things could go messy!!!!

Let's have a look at my forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE100: 5550-5830 (actual: 5769-5930);

SPX500: 1375-1430 (actual: 1464-1422);

Nymex: $91-$95.60 (actual: $89.80-$93.49);

Gold: $1699-$1760(actual: $1716-$1754);

Euro/dollar: $1.3010-$1.2750 (actual: $1.3140-$1.2891);

Barclays: 211-237 pence (actual: 231-248 pence);

BP: 413-433 pence (actual: 428-456 pence).

After last week's forecasts, this one is a disaster, well, it is inevitable, as I played the divergence game again!

Will try to do better this weekend.

Have a good one, folks."

17:32pm, 19-10-12, banked 40 quid, so that is 1448 quid in red, 95 winners and 117 losers and 9 breakevens out of 221 selections for the 16th series.

14:36pm, 19-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5904.

14:33pm, 19-10-12, banked 65 quid, so that is 1488 quid in red, 94 winners and 117 losers and 9 breakevens out of 220 selections for the 16th series.

06:56am, 19-10-12, highlighted my fun long 9261.

06:53am, 19-10-12, chopped for a tenner, so that is 1553 quid in red, 93 winners and 117 losers and 9 breakevens out of 219 selections for the 16th series.

13:30pm, 18-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5901.

13:28pm, 18-10-12, lost that one, so that is 1543 quid in red, 93 winners and 116 losers and 9 breakevens out of 218 selections for the 16th series.

06:39am, 18-10-12, highlighted my fun long 9213.

17:23, 17-10-12, lost that one too, so that is 1500 quid in red, 93 winners and 115 losers and 9 breakevens out of 217 selections for the 16th series.

15:06pm, 16-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5872.

14:51pm, 16-10-12, lost 101 quid, so that is 1399 quid in red, 93 winners and 114 losers and 9 breakevens out of 216 selections for the 16th series.

10:51am, 15-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5823.

10:08am, 15-10-12, banked 32 quid, so that is 1298 quid in red, 93 winners and 113 losers and 9 breakevens out of 215 selections for the 16th series.

07:16am, 15-10-12, highlighted my fun long 9111.

07:12am, 15-10-12, banked 64 quid, so that is 1324 quid in red, 92 winners and 113 losers and 9 breakevens out of 214 selections for the 16th series.

09:37am, 13-10-12, some weekly reflections upon my forecasts and outcomes:

"

 

It seems that over the weekends, I am Mr Genius and during the week, I still have not escaped from being the Village Idiot, though recent fun bet trading is ticking along a bit more steadily now. So I must eat my humble pies three meals a day until the day that I can run the fun bets into profit within this constraint of 100 quid stoploss system. So the struggle between the Mooriverwatcher and Moorivertrader continues, it is very much a class struggle, a struggle between Jekyll and Hyde, it seems, lol. Interestingly, the City boys do not want to hire the Genius, let alone the Village Idiot, so I solider on until lightening strikes one day. That will be the day!

Our MS has stormed back from his holidays into solid trading successes, bagged one full bull run on the FTSE100 on Thursday. You shine as our best Mooriver Trader as always, buddy (well, that is until our millionaire ex-City trader Raffles gets spurred into a bit of competition, haha).

Lets have a look at my forecasts and the actual market outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5875-5740 (actual: 5862-5758);

Nymex: $87 and $93.75 (actual: $88.21-$93.65);

Euro/dollar: $1.2870-$1.3360 (actual: $1.2826-$1.3020);

Gold: $1740-$1830 (actual: $1752-$1780);

SPX500: 1487-1450 (actual:1460-1425);

Barclays: 237-211 pence (actual: 240-220 pence);

BP: 442-414 pence (actual: 441-431 pence).

Well, I wonder whether there is actually a better weekly forecaster than my humble self, yes, I must eat my humble pie every day!

Have a nice weekend, folks."

07:52am, 12-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5819 on GS.

18:46pm, 11-10-12, escaped at breakeven, c'est la vie, so that is 1388 quid in red, 91 winners and 113 losers and 9 breakevens out of 213 selections for the 16th series.

12:10pm, 11-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5810.

10:48am, 11-10-12, chopped for 14 quid, so that is 1388 quid in red, 91 winners and 113 losers and 8 breakevens out of 212 selections for the 16th series.

09:27am, 11-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5789.

09:18am, 11-10-12, banked 42 quid, so that is 1374 quid in red, 91 winners and 112 losers and 8 breakevens out of 211 selections for the 16th series.

06:36am, 11-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5769.

20:53pm, 10-10-12, nicked three quid, so that is 1416 quid in red, 90 winners and 112 losers and 8 breakevens out of 210 selections for the 16th series.

19:47pm, 10-10-12, highlighted my fun long 9132.

18:17pm, 10-10-12, banked 125 quid, so that is 1419 quid in red, 89 winners and 112 losers and 8 breakevens out of 209 selections for the 16th series.

15:33pm, 10-10-12, highlighted my fun short 9325.

15:12pm, 10-10-12, lost 37 quid, so that is 1544 quid in red, 88 winners and 112 losers and 8 breakevens out of 208 selections for the 16th series.

15:03pm, 10-10-12, highlighted my fun short 9263.

15:00pm, 10-10-12, lost 70 quid, so that is 1507 quid in red, 88 winners and 111 losers and 8 breakevens out of 207 selections for the 16th series.

13:45pm, 10-10-12, highlighted my fun short 9190.

13:43pm, 10-10-12, chopped for 4 quid, so that is 1437 quid in red, 88 winners and 110 losers and 8 breakevens out of 206 selections for the 16th series.

12:06pm, 10-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5786.

10:46am, 10-10-12, banked 50 quid, so that is 1433 quid in red, 88 winners and 109 losers and 8 breakevens out of 205 selections for the 16th series.

08:31am, 10-10-12, highlighted my fun short 9225.

08:12am, 10-10-12, banked 6 quid, so that is 1483 quid in red, 87 winners and 109 losers and 8 breakevens out of 204 selections for the 16th series.

20:40pm, 09-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5797.

18:40pm, 09-10-12, banked 30 quid after the dividend, not going anywhere, so that is 1489 quid in red, 86 winners and 109 losers and 8 breakevens out of 203 selections for the 16th series.

09:33am, 09-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5824.

08-49am, 09-10-12, banked 24 quid, so that is 1519 quid in red, 85 winners and 109 losers and 8 breakevens out of 202 selections for the 16th series.

12:08pm, 08-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5829.

12:06pm, 08-10-12, banked 8 quid, so that is 1543 quid in red, 84 winners and 109 losers and 8 breakevens out of 201 selections for the 16th series.

08:28am, 08-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5825.

09:31am, 07-10-12, done all seven reports now, interesting days ahead, some matchup for the forecasts and outcomes in the past week:

"

 

Lets have a look at the forecasts and outcomes in the past week:

FTSE100: 5800-5530 (actual: 5886-5722);

Euro/dollar: $1.2690-$1.2861 (actual: $1.2804-$1.3072);

Nymex: $92.70-$87(actual: $93.33-$87.71);

Gold: $1772-$1688 (actual: $1796-$1764);

Barclays: 215-189 pence (actual: 230-215 pence);

BP: 440-422 pence (actual: 442-430 pence);

SPX500: 1460-1400(actual: 1471-1434).

That was my first proper batch of reports after my September break. So should do better from here onwards."

17:45pm, 05-10-12, banked 4 quid, so that is 1551 quid in red, 83 winners and 109 losers and 8 breakevens out of 200 selections for the 16th series.

16:37pm, 05-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5864 on GS.

16:32pm, 05-10-12, lost 50 quid, so that is 1555 quid in red, 82 winners and 109 losers and 8 breakevens out of 199 selections for the 16th series.

16:25pm, 05-10-12, highlighted my fun long 9014.

16:22pm, 05-10-12, lost 68 quid, so that is 1505 quid in red, 82 winners and 108 losers and 8 breakevens out of 198 selections for the 16th series.

11:43am, 04-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5837.

09:28am, 04-10-12, lost 4 quid, so that is 1437 quid in red, 82 winners and 107 losers and 8 breakevens out of 197 selections for the 16th series.

20:47pm, 03-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5814.

20:35pm, 03-10-12, chopped for 21 quid, so that is 1433 quid in red, 82 winners and 106 losers and 8 breakevens out of 196 selections for the 16th series.

19:32pm, 03-10-12, highlighted my fun long 8821.

18:29pm, 03-10-12, banked 6 quid, disappointed, so that is 1412 quid in red, 82 winners and 105 losers and 8 breakevens out of 195 selections for the 16th series.

15:38pm, 03-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5822.

15:23pm, 03-10-12, chopped for 6 quid, so that is 1418 quid in red, 81 winners and 105 losers and 8 breakevens out of 194 selections for the 16th series.

14:39pm, 03-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5819.

14:37pm, 03-10-12, banked 4 quid, so that is 1412 quid in red, 81 winners and 104 losers and 8 breakevens out of 193 selections for the 16th series.

13:08pm, 03-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5818.

11:35am, 03-10-12, banked 42 quid, so that is 1416 quid in red, 80 winners and 104 losers and 8 breakevens out of 192 selections for the 16th series.

08:25am, 03-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5790.

21:00pm, 02-10-12, lost 38 quid, so that is 1458 quid in red, 79 winners and 104 losers and 8 breakevens out of 191selections for the 16th series.

19:28pm, 02-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5791.

17:08pm, 02-10-12, banked 76 quid, so that is 1420 quid in red, 79 winners and 103 losers and 8 breakevens out of 190 selections for the 16th series.

11:42am, 02-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5833.

11:26am, 02-10-12, banked 42 quid, so that is 1496 quid in red, 78 winners and 103 losers and 8 breakevens out of 189 selections for the 16th series.

09:44am, 02-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5811.

09:42am, 02-10-12, lost 72 quid, so that is 1538 quid in red, 77 winners and 103 losers and 8 breakevens out of 188 selections for the 16th series.

08:15am, 02-10-12, highlighted my fun short 9208.

08:13am, 02-10-12, chopped for 24 quid, so that is 1466 quid in red, 77 winners and 102 losers and 8 breakevens out of 187 selections for the 16th series.

06:37am, 02-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5798.

20:03pm, 01-10-12, chopped for 14 quid, so that is 1442 quid in red, 77 winners and 101 losers and 8 breakevens out of 186 selections for the 16th series.

19:10pm, 01-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5806.

17:10pm, 01-10-12, chopped for 20 quid, so that is 1428 quid in red, 77 winners and 100 losers and 8 breakevens out of 185 selections for the 16th series.

13:10pm, 01-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5802.

11:07am, 01-10-12, chopped that for 12 quid, that was a mistake, so that is 1408 quid in red, 77 winners and 99 losers and 8 breakevens out of 184 selections for the 16th series.

09:18am, 01-10-12, highlighted my fun short 5791.

08:30am, 01-10-12, banked 88 quid, so that is 1396 quid in red, 77 winners and 98 losers and 8 breakevens out of 183 selections for the 16th series.

07:20am, 01-10-12, highlighted my fun long 5736.

21:08pm, 28-09-12, chopped for 3 quid, don't like leaving trades open over the weekend, so that is 1484 quid in red, 76 winners and 98 losers and 8 breakevens out of 182 selections for the 16th series.

17:33pm, 27-09-12, highlighted my fun short 9202.

13:04pm, 27-09-12, banked 140 quid, so that is 1481 quid in red, 76 winners and 97 losers and 8 breakevens out of 181 selections for the 16th series.

15:41pm, 26-09-12, highlighted my fun long 8938.

15:39pm, 26-09-12, lost that one, so that is 1621 quid in red, 75 winners and 97 losers and 8 breakevens out of 180 selections for the 16th series.

15:31pm, 26-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9010.

14:53pm, 26-09-12, lost 54 quid, so that is 1521 quid in red, 75 winners and 96 losers and 8 breakevens out of 179 selections for the 16th series.

13:45pm, 26-09-12, highlighted my fun long 5787.

11:27am, 26-09-12, chopped for 6 quid, so that is 1467 quid in red, 75 winners and 95 losers and 8 breakevens out of 178 selections for the 16th series.

09:45am, 26-09-12, highlighted my fun long 5797.

09:36am, 26-09-12, lost 33 quid, so that is 1461 quid in red, 75 winners and 94 losers and 8 breakevens out of 177 selections for the 16th series.

06:56am, 26-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9083.

21:33pm, 25-09-12, banked 50 quid, so that is 1428 quid in red, 75 winners and 93 losers and 8 breakevens out of 176 selections for the 16th series.

18:06pm, 25-09-12, highlighted my fun short 5840.

17:55pm, 25-09-12, lost 66 quid, so that is 1478 quid in red, 74 winners and 93 losers and 8 breakevens out of 175 selections for the 16th series.

15:07pm, 25-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9296.

15:01pm, 25-09-12, chopped for 3 quid, so that is 1412 quid in red, 74 winners and 92 losers and 8 breakevens out of 174 selections for the 16th series.

13:53pm, 25-09-12, highlighted my fun short 5849.

13:43pm, 25-09-12, banked a tenner, so that is 1409 quid in red, 74 winners and 91 losers and 8 breakevens out of 173 selections for the 16th series.

13:27pm, 25-09-12, highlighted my fun long 5946.

13:17pm, 25-09-12, banked 10 quid, so that is 1419 quid in red, 73 winners and 91 losers and 8 breakevens out of 172 selections for the 16th series.

10:21am, 25-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9260.

10:19am, 25-09-12, nicked 6 quid, so that is 1429 quid in red, 72 winners and 91 losers and 8 breakevens out of 171 selections for the 16th series.

09:37am, 25-09-12, highlighted my fun short 5843.

06:41am, 25-09-12, banked 83 quid, so that is 1435 quid in red, 71 winners and 91 losers and 8 breakevens out of 170 selections for the 16th series.

16:48pm, 24-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9123.

16:43pm, 24-09-12, lost the long, so that is 1518 quid in red, 70 winners and 91 losers and 8 breakevens out of 169 selections for the 16th series.

06:42am, 24-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9220.

20:30pm, 21-09-12, chopped for 4 quid, so that is 1418 quid in red, 70 winners and 90 losers and 8 breakevens out of 168 selections for the 16th series.

14:34pm, 21-09-12, highlighted my fun short 5852.

12:12pm, 21-09-12, banked 62 quid, so that is 1414 quid in red, 70 winners and 89 losers and 8 breakevens out of 167 selections for the 16th series.

07:03am, 21-09-12, chopped for 20, highlighted my fun short 5882, so that is 1475 quid in red, 69 winners and 89 losers and 8 breakevens out of 166 selections for the 16th series.

06:34a,. 21-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9325.

06:28am, 21-09-12, lost 100 quid, so that is 1455 quid in red, 69 winners and 88 losers and 8 breakevens out of 165 selections for the 16th series.

08:10am, 20-09-12, highlighted my fun short 5838.

08:03am, 20-09-12, lost 32 quid, so that is 1355 quid in red, 69 winners and 87 losers and 8 breakevens out of 164 selections for the 16th series.

07:54am, 20-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9132.

07:50am, 20-09-12, lost 28 quid, so that is 1323 quid in red, 69 winners and 86 losers and 8 breakevens out of 163 selections for the 16th series.

07:14am, 20-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9138.

06:55am, 20-09-12, banked 48 quid, so that is 1295 quid in red, 69 winners and 85 losers and 8 breakevens out of 162 selections for the 16th series.

21:15pm, 19-09-12, highlighted my fun short 9198.

21:10pm, 19-09-12, chopped for 15 quid, so that is 1343 quid in red, 68 winners and 85 losers and 8 breakevens out of 161 selections for the 16th series.

19:27pm, 19-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9210 on GS.

18:46pm, 19-09-12, absolutely disastrous, so that is 1328 quid in red, 68 winners and 84 losers and 8 breakevens out of 160 selections for the 16th series.

15:01pm, 19-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9298.

14:53pm, 19-09-12, disastrous, lost that long, so that is 1228 quid in red, 68 winners and 83 losers and 8 breakevens out of 159 selections for the 16th series.

11:06am, 19-09-12, got out at 2 quid loss, highglighted my fun long 9550 on GS, so that is 1128 quid in red, 68 winners and 82 losers and 8 breakevens out of 158 selections for the 16th series.

10:01am, 19-09-12, highlighted my fun long 5872.

08:54am, 19-09-12, lost 47 quid, so that is 1126 quid in red, 68 winners and 81 losers and 8 breakevens out of 157 selections for the 16th series.

08:46am, 19-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9647.

08:44am, 19-09-12, lost 23 quid, so that is 1079 quid in red, 68 winners and 80 losers and 8 breakevens out of 156 selections for the 16th series.

08:13am, 19-09-12, highlighted my fun short 9619.

07:23am, 19-09-12, banked 90 quid, so that is 1056 quid in red, 68 winners and 79 losers and 8 breakevens out of 155 selections for the 16th series.

18:58pm, 18-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9530.

18:56pm, 18-09-12, banked 35 quid, so that is 1146 quid in red, 67 winners and 79 losers and 8 breakevens out of 154 selections for the 16th series.

18:43pm, 18-09-12, highlighted my fun short 9562.

18:39pm, 18-09-12, lost 50 quid, so that is 1181 quid in red, 66 winners and 79 losers and 8 breakevens out of 153 selections for the 16th series.

17:10pm, 18-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9603.

15:42pm, 18-09-12, banked 22 quid, so that is 1131 quid in red, 66 winners and 78 losers and 8 breakevens out of 152 selections for the 16th series.

20:29pm, 17-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9608 on GS.

19:25pm, 17-09-12, got out at breakeven, so that is 1153 quid in red, 65 winners and 78 losers and 8 breakevens out of 151 selections for the 16th series.

15:07pm, 17-09-12, highlighted my fun short 5885.

15:03pm, 17-09-12, banked 30 quid, so that is 1153 quid in red, 65 winners and 78 losers and 7 breakevens out of 150 selections for the 16th series.

10:47am, 17-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9879.

10:45am, 17-09-12, come out at breakeven, so that is 1183 quid in red, 64 winners and 78 losers and 7 breakevens out of 149 selections for the 16th series.

09:48am, 17-09-12, chopped for a tenner and highlighted my fun short 9879, so that is 1183 quid in red, 64 winners and 78 losers and 6 breakevens out of 148 selections for the 16th series.

09:21am, 17-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9889.

09:18am, 17-09-12, chopped for 6 quid, so that is 1173 quid in red, 64 winners and 77 losers and 6 breakevens out of 147 selections for the 16th series.

09:05am, 17-09-12, highlighted my fun short 5907.

09:01am, 17-09-12, banked 8 quid, so that is 1167 quid in red, 64 winners and 76 losers and 6 breakevens out of 146 selections for the 16th series.

07:48am, 17-09-12, highlighted my fun short 9898.

14:46pm, 06-09-12, banked 62 quid, that is me happily on my way, so that is 1175 quid in red, 63 winners and 76 losers and 6 breakevens out of 145 selections for the 16th series.

13:31pm, 06-09-12, highlighted my fun long at 9648, on 100 GS, that is me done, I am on my break for ten days.

09:08am, 06-09-12, banked 30 quid, so that is 1237 quid in red, 62 winners and 76 losers and 6 breakevens out of 144 selections for the 16th series.

08:36am, 06-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9615.

20:17pm, 05-09-12, came out at breakeven, so that is 1267 quid in red, 61 winners and 76 losers and 6 breakevens out of 143 selections for the 16th series.

19:29pm, 05-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9539.

18:10pm, 05-09-12, banked 60 quid, so that is 1267 quid in red, 61 winners and 76 losers and 5 breakevens out of 142 selections for the 16th series.

16:04pm, 05-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9463.

14:50pm, 05-09-12, lost that one, so that is 1327 quid in red, 60 winners and 76 losers and 5 breakevens out of 141 selections for the 16th series.

16:56pm, 04-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9528.

15:31pm, 04-09-12, lost 74 quid, so that is 1227 quid in red, 60 winners and 75 losers and 5 breakevens out of 140 selections for the 16th series.

14:50pm, 04-09-12, highlighted my fun long 5697.

14:48pm, 04-09-12, banked 60 quid, so that is 1153 quid in red, 60 winners and 74 losers and 5 breakevens out of 139 selections for the 16th series.

13:58pm, 04-09-12, highlighted my fun short 9660.

13:53pm, 04-09-12, lost 30 quid, so that is 1213 quid in red, 59 winners and 74 losers and 5 breakevens out of 138 selections for the 16th series.

12:44pm, 04-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9700.

12:42pm, 04-09-12, came out at breakeven, so that is 1183 quid in red, 59 winners and 73 losers and 5 breakevens out of 137 selections for the 16th series.

10:21am, 04-09-12, highlighted my fun short 9703.

10:19am, 04-09-12, chopped for 22 quid, so that is 1183 quid in red, 59 winners and 73 losers and 4 breakevens out of 136 selections for the 16th series.

09:50am, 04-09-12, highlighted my fun long 5724.

09:48am, 04-09-12, lost 19 quid, so that is 1161 quid in red, 59 winners and 72 losers and 4 breakevens out of 135 selections for the 16th series.

08:01am, 04-09-12, highlighted my fun short 9714.

06:40am, 04-09-12, banked 28 quid, so that is 1142 quid in red, 59 winners and 71 losers and 4 breakevens out of 134 selections for the 16th series.

17:26pm, 03-09-12, highlighted my fun long 9691.

17:19pm, 03-09-12, lost another 25 quid, so that is 1170 quid in red, 58 winners and 71 losers and 4 breakevens out of 133 selections for the 16th series.

16:21pm, 03-09-12, highlighted my fun short 9661.

16:08pm, 03-09-12, lost 42 quid, so that is 1145 quid in red, 58 winners and 70 losers and 4 breakevens out of 132 selections for the 16th series

06:15am, 03-09-12, highlighted my fun short 9628.

13:26pm, 01-09-12, some weekly reflections:

"

Some determination and confidence is coming back into the fun bet trading. Having seen its height at £1644 in red, it went under £1000 in red on Friday, only for me to have suffered another wobble on Friday. It now stands at £1103 in red. The key turning point is that this 16th series of fun bets will go on for ever, meaning I am no longer gagged by the constraints of 100 fun bets per series. This has really liberated me in the fun bet trading, as I feel comfortable with taking a quid profit or loss here and there, only to hold onto a good winner when things are going absolutely the right way. Let's see how it goes from here. I will be having a break from the evening of this coming Thursday for about 10 days.

Lets have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5840-5650 (actual: 5787-5694);

SPX500: 1395-1450 (actual: 1397-1418);

Gold: $1695-$1604 (actual: $1693-$1647);

Euro/dollar: $1.2450-$1.2770 (actual: $1.2466-$1.2638);

Nymex: $99.50-$94.80 (actual: $97.72-$93.96);

Barclays: 206-185 pence (actual: 191-181 pence);

BP: 463-433 pence (actual: 448-438 pence).

This mooriver forecasting business is a bit of a brain challenge, otherwise, it is the fun bet trading that matters. I am hoping to get the fun bets to reach for £10,000 in profit on the minimum stake and then double the minimum stake till the next 10k profit and double again if we get there. It is actually doable if we trade quite a bit of oil and only trade indices and other markets when there is a good opportunity.

Have a great weekend, folks."

20:16pm, 31-08-12, chopped for a tenner, so that is 1103 quid in red, 58 winners and 69 losers and 4 breakevens out of 131 selections for the 16th series.

18:35pm, 31-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9635.

17:18pm, 31-08-12, chopped for 14 quid, so that is 1093 quid in red, 58 winners and 68 losers and 4 breakevens out of 130 selections for the 16th series.

16:07pm, 31-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9605.

16:02pm, 31-08-12, banked 32 quid, so that is 1079 quid in red, 58 winners and 67 losers and 4 breakevens out of 129 selections for the 16th series.

15:52pm, 31-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9571.

15:16pm, 31-08-12, banked 32, so that is 1111 quid in red, 57 winners and 67 losers and 4 breakevens out of 128 selections for the 16th series.

15:09pm, 31-08-12, highlighted my long 9518.

15:06pm, 31-08-12, lost 46 quid, so that is 1143 quid in red, 56 winners and 67 losers and 4 breakevens out of 127 selections for the 16th series.

14:53pm, 31-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9586.

14:51pm, 31-08-12, banked 48 quid, so that is 1097 quid in red, 56 winners and 66 losers and 4 breakevens out of 126 selections for the 16th series.

14:09pm, 31-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9628.

14:06pm, 31-08-12, lost that one on the full whack, so that is 1145 quid in red, 55 winners and 66 losers and 4 breakevens out of 125 selections for the 16th series.

13:20pm, 31-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9524 on GS.

12:59pm, 31-08-12, lost 60 quid, so that is 1045 quid in red, 55 winners and 65 losers and 4 breakevens out of 124 selections for the 16th series.

08:56am, 31-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5720.

08:49am, 31-08-12, banked 15 quid, so that is 985 quid in red, 55 winners and 64 losers and 4 breakevens out of 123 selections for the 16th series.

06:40am, 31-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9369.

21:49pm, 30-08-12, chopped for 4 quid, so that is 1000 quid in red, 54 winners and 64 losers and 4 breakevens out of 122 selections for the 16th series.

20:10pm, 30-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9462.

19:49pm, 30-08-12, banked 21 quid, so that is 996 quid in red, 54 winners and 63 losers and 4 breakevens out of 121 selections for the 16th series.

18:40pm, 30-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9434.

18:24pm, 30-08-12, banked 13 quid, so that is 1017 quid in red, 53 winners and 63 losers and 4 breakevens out of 120 selections for the 16th series.

18:11pm, 30-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9455.

17:44pm, 30-08-12, lost 34 quid, so that is 1030 quid in red, 52 winners and 63 losers and 4 breakevens out of 119 selections for the 16th series.

17:30pm, 30-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9426.

17:28pm, 30-08-12, chopped for 12 quid, so that is 996 quid in red, 52 winners and 62 losers and 4 breakevens out of 118 selections for the 16th series.

17:16pm, 30-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9436.

17:01pm, 30-08-12, banked 114 quid, so that is 984 quid in red, 52 winners and 61 losers and 4 breakevens out of 117 selections for the 16th series.

13:36pm, 30-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9531.

13:22pm, 30-08-12, chopped for 14 quid, so that is 1098 quid in red, 51 winners and 61 losers and 4 breakevens out of 116 selections for the 16th series.

09:18am, 30-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5728.

09:11am, 30-08-12, banked 22 quid, so that is 1084 quid in red, 51 winners and 60 losers and 4 breakevens out of 115 selections for the 16th series.

08:09am, 30-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9511.

07:18am, 30-08-12, banked 12 quid, so that is 1106 quid in red, 50 winners and 60 losers and 4 breakevens out of 114 selections for the 16th series.

06:35am, 30-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9509.

21:01pm, 29-08-12, banked 32 quid, so that is 1118 quid in red, 49 winners and 60 losers and 4 breakevens out of 113 selections for the 16th series.

19:51pm, 29-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9542.

19:28pm, 29-08-12, banked a tenner, so that is 1150 quid in red, 48 winners and 60 losers and 4 breakevens out of 112 selections for the 16th series.

19:00pm, 29-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9534.

16:45pm, 29-08-12, banked 14 quid, so that is 1160 quid in red, 47 winners and 60 losers and 4 breakevens out of 111 selections for the 16th series.

15:19pm, 29-08-12, highlighted my short 5757.

14:44pm, 29-08-12, got stopped at breakeven, so that is 1174 quid in red, 46 winners and 60 losers and 4 breakevens out of 110 selections for the 16th series.

11:28am, 29-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9560.

11:24am, 29-08-12, chopped for 12 quid, so that is 1174 quid in red, 46 winners and 60 losers and 3 breakevens out of 109 selections for the 16th series.

11:00am, 29-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5744.

10:58am, 29-08-12, chopped for 4 quid, so that is 1162 quid in red, 46 winners and 59 losers and 3 breakevens out of 108 selections for the 16th series.

09:33am, 29-08-12, highlighted my fun long 5750.

09:18am, 29-08-12, banked 45 quid, so that is 1158 quid in red, 46 winners and 58 losers and 3 breakevens out of 107 selections for the 16th series.

18:03pm, 28-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9610 on GS.

14:08pm, 28-08-12, banked 48 quid, so that is 1203 quid in red, 45 winners and 58 losers and 3 breakevens out of 106 selections for the 16th series.

11:29am, 28-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5777.

09:10am, 28-08-12, banked 56 quid, so that is 1251 quid in red, 44 winners and 58 losers and 3 breakevens out of 105 selections for the 16th series.

06:40am, 28-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9547.

20:50pm, 27-08-12, banked 60 quid, so that is 1307 quid in red, 43 winners and 58 losers and 3 breakevens out of 104 selections for the 16th series.

17:03pm, 27-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9494.

16:22pm, 27-08-12, chopped for 6 quid, so that is 1367 quid in red, 42 winners and 58 losers and 3 breakevens out of 103 selections for the 16th series.

14:36pm, 27-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9512.

14:04pm, 27-08-12, lost 33 quid, so that is 1373 quid in red, 42 winners and 57 losers and 3 breakevens out of 102 selections for the 16th series.

08:53am, 27-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9713.

09:28am, 24-08-12, banked 183 quid, so that is 1340 quid in red, 42 winners and 56 losers and 3 breakevens out of 101 selections for the 16th series.

13:33pm, 23-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9758.

12:11pm, 23-08-12, came out at breakeven, so that is 1523 quid in red, 41 winners and 56 losers and 3 breakevens out of 100 selections for the 16th series.

19:13pm, 22-08-12, highlighted my fun long 5790.

19:02pm, 22-08-12, chopped for 6 quid, so that is 1523 quid in red, 41 winners and 56 losers and 2 breakevens out of 99 selections for the 16th series.

15:20pm, 22-08-12, chopped for 16 quid, highlighted my fun short 5786, so that is 1517 quid in red, 41 winners and 55 losers and 2 breakevens out of 98 selections for the 16th series.

13:28pm, 22-08-12, highlighted my fun long 5794.

13:13pm, 22-08-12, chopped for 6 quid, so that is 1501 quid in red, 41 winners and 54 losers and 2 breakevens out of 97 selections for the 16th series.

10:39am, 22-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5790.

09:58am, 22-08-12, banked a tenner, so that is 1495 quid in red, 41 winners and 53 losers and 2 breakevens out of 96 selections for the 16th series.

07:13am, 22-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9678.

20:43pm, 21-08-12, banked 55 quid, so that is 1505 quid in red, 40 winners and 53 losers and 2 breakevens out of 95 selections for the 16th series.

18:48pm, 21-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9728.

18:07pm, 21-08-12, banked 30 quid, so that is 1560 quid in red, 39 winners and 53 losers and 2 breakevens out of 94 selections for the 16th series.

15:21pm, 21-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5858.

13:02pm, 21-08-12, chopped for 26 quid, so that is 1590 quid in red, 38 winners and 53 losers and 2 breakevens out of 93 selections for the 16th series.

17:31pm, 20-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5833.

15:31pm, 20-08-12, banked the short on ftse from last Friday, so that is 1564 quid in red, 38 winners and 52 losers and 2 breakevens out of 92 selections for the 16th series.

13:16pm, 19-08-12, some weekly reflections:

"Went swimming for the third day in a row and now very exhausted. To be honest, I can't really swim properly and at the moment, I can't trade the fun bets properly either which is deeply in red by £1644, having made a mess of oil trades again. The power of the mooriver is against me at the moment. I was merely floating about and the rest of the world is passing me over, well, the summer will be over soon and my season is just around the corner.

Lets have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5930-5650 (actual: 5810-5877);

SPX 500: 1478-1378 (actual: 1419-1397);

BP: 454-430 pence (actual: 456-446 pence);

Barclays: 191-143 pence (actual: 194-181 pence);

Gold: $1620-$1690 (actual: $1590-$1626);

Euro/dollar: $1.1960-$1.2310 (actual: $1.2256-$1.2386);

Nymex: $93.75-$90.55 (actual: $96.55-$92.06).

Well, this summer trading period comes every year, after this few years in the market, I am still not with it. It should really be a scalper's market, with tight ranges, traded on short-term time frames. I used to be really good at it, but that was a long time ago now.

I don't really have much energy left to do a full study this weekend, but FTSE 100 should trade between 5880 and 5770 next week.

Take care."

19:10pm, 17-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5847 on GS.

18:41pm, 17-08-12, lost that one too for 81 quid, so that is 1644 quid in red, 37 winners and 52 losers and 2 breakevens out of 91 selections for the 16th series.

14:46pm, 17-08-12, got stopped out for a quid profit, highlighted my fun short 9529, so that is 1563 quid in red, 37 winners and 51losers and 2 breakevens out of 90 selections for the 16th series.

08:31am, 17-08-12, highlighted my fun long 9528.

18:34pm, 16-08-12, lost that one to, so that is 1564 quid in red, 36 winners and 51losers and 2 breakevens out of 89 selections for the 16th series.

18:28pm, 14-08-12, highlighted my fun short again 9440, having lost the previous short from 9350, so that is 1464 quid in red, 36 winners and 50 losers and 2 breakevens out of 88 selections for the 16th series.

15:00pm, 13-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9350.

16:33pm, 13-08-12, banked 105 quid, so that is 1364 quid in red, 36 winners and 49 losers and 2 breakevens out of 87 selections for the 16th series.

13:53pm, 13-08-12, highlighted my fun short 9348.

09:17am, 13-08-12, banked 34 quid, so that is 1469 quid in red, 35 winners and 49 losers and 2 breakevens out of 86 selections for the 16th series.

16:41pm, 09-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5844.

13:56pm, 09-08-12, banked 24 quid, so that is 1503 quid in red, 34 winners and 49 losers and 2 breakevens out of 85 selections for the 16th series.

12:50pm, 09-08-12, highlighted my fun long 5834.

11:18am, 09-08-12, banked 18 quid, hard going for bears, so that is 1527 quid in red, 33 winners and 49 losers and 2 breakevens out of 84 selections for the 16th series.

08:49am, 09-08-12, chopped for 6 quid, highlighted my fun short 5852, so that is 1545 quid in red, 32 winners and 49 losers and 2 breakevens out of 83 selections for the 16th series.

08:04am, 09-08-12, highlighted my fun long 5855.

07:19am, 09-08-12, chopped for 6 quid, so that is 1539 quid in red, 32 winners and 48 losers and 2 breakevens out of 82 selections for the 16th series.

06:32am, 09-08-12, highlighted my fun short 13208.

06:18am, 09-08-12, lost 160 quid, so that is 1533 quid in red, 32 winners and 47 losers and 2 breakevens out of 81 selections for the 16th series.

08:19am, 07-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5810.

08:15am, 07-08-12, chopped for 38 quid, so that is 1473 quid in red, 32 winners and 46 losers and 2 breakevens out of 80 selections for the 16th series.

22:21pm, 03-08-12, some reflections below:

"

Had some stability at the beginning of the week, and then got waddled by the yoyoing market, which is normally where I should have

a good run with the ups and downs. Things are not happening for me in trading at the moment, there must be light at the end of this dark

tunnel. Will stick at indices for now, seeking further stabilities and then a breakout of this tunnel. The fun bets series is deeply in red by £1435.

Lets have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5657-5585 (actual: 5795-5615);

SPX500: 1380-1403(actual: 1354-1395);

BP: 442-416 pence (actual: 447-421 pence);

Barclays: 182-150 pence (actual: 173-161 pence);

Nymex: $93.30-$83.20 (actual: $91.72-$86.93);

Euro/dollar: $1.2430-$1.2040(actual: $1.2405-$1.2134);

Gold: $1641-$1558 (actual: $1628-$1584).

Take care."

18:46pm, 03-08-12, highlighted my fun short 13103.

17:06pm, 03-08-12, chopped for 6 quid, so that is 1435 quid in red, 32 winners and 45 losers and 2 breakevens out of 79 selections for the 16th series.

15:07pm, 03-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5786.

14:55pm, 03-08-12, chopped for 36 quid, so that is 1429 quid in red, 32 winners and 44 losers and 2 breakevens out of 78 selections for the 16th series.

14:21pm, 03-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5764.

14:01pm, 03-08-12, lost 136 quid, so that is 1393 quid in red, 32 winners and 43 losers and 2 breakevens out of 77 selections for the 16th series.

08:43am, 03-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5692.

21:39pm, 02-08-12, banked 42 quid, so that is 1257 quid in red, 32 winners and 42 losers and 2 breakevens out of 76 selections for the 16th series.

19:28pm, 02-08-12, highlighted my fun long 5638.

17:29pm, 02-08-12, banked 94 quid, so that is 1299 quid in red, 31 winners and 42 losers and 2 breakevens out of 75 selections for the 16th series.

13:49pm, 02-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5687.

13:37pm, 02-08-12, lost that short, so that is 1393 quid in red, 30 winners and 42 losers and 2 breakevens out of 74 selections for the 16th series.

16:47pm, 01-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5713.

16:33pm, 01-08-12, lost 100 quid, so that is 1291 quid in red, 30 winners and 41 losers and 2 breakevens out of 73 selections for the 16th series.

10:25am, 01-08-12, highlighted my fun short 5666.

10:22am, 01-08-12, banked 22 quid, so that is 1191 quid in red, 30 winners and 40 losers and 2 breakevens out of 72 selections for the 16th series.

09:38am, 01-08-12, highlighted my fun long 5652.

09:35am, 01-08-12, banked 14 quid, so that is 1213 quid in red, 29 winners and 40 losers and 2 breakevens out of 71 selectionies.
(the diary went too long, some parts from June 1 to August has gone missing)