Saturday 3 November 2012

Premium Mooriver Watch Cub Service Diary 2012 (part 1)


This is a brief diary of the service provided to the Premium Mooriverwatch Club (launched officially on 1st November 2009), so that everyone can catch a glimpse of what this subscription service is about. (the 2012 diary went so long that it crashed my blog, so had to chop it in three parts)

20:46pm, 31-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5348.

20:30pm, 31-05-12, chopped for 50 quid, so that is 403 quid in red, from 38 losers and 36 winners and 1 breakeven out of 75 selections for the 14th Series.

17:37pm, 31-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5332.

16:24pm, 31-05-12, grabbed 66 quid, so that is 353 quid in red, from 37 losers and 36 winners and 1 breakeven out of 74 selections for the 14th Series.

14:40pm, 31-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5320.

13:32pm, 31-05-12, banked 16 quid, so that is 419 quid in red, from 37 losers and 35 winners and 1 breakeven out of 73 selections for the 14th Series.

08:03am, 31-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5322.

07:16am, 31-05-12, lost 7 quid, so that is 435 quid in red, from 37 losers and 34 winners and 1 breakeven out of 72 selections for the 14th Series.

06:45am, 31-05-12, highlighted my fun long 1311.7.

06:41am, 31-05-12, banked 80 quid, so that is 428 quid in red, from 36 losers and 34 winners and 1 breakeven out of 71 selections for the 14th Series.

08:08am, 29-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5340.

08:07am, 29-05-12, chopped for 68 quid, so that is 508 quid in red, from 36 losers and 33 winners and 1 breakeven out of 70 selections for the 14th Series.

15:24pm, 28-05-12, highlighted my fun long on euro 12534.

15:21pm, 28-05-12, lost that one, so that is 440 quid in red, from 35 losers and 33 winners and 1 breakeven out of 69 selections for the 14th Series.

09:16am, 28-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5390.

09:06am, 28-05-12, nicked 18 quid, so that is 340 quid in red, from 34 losers and 33 winners and 1 breakeven out of 68 selections for the 14th Series.

08:26am, 28-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5401 for a scalp.

08:19am, 28-05-12, lost that scalp, so that is 358 quid in red, from 34 losers and 32 winners and 1 breakeven out of 67 selections for the 14th Series.

07:05am, 28-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5386.

04:45am, 28-05-12, got gapped out for 44 quid, so that is 310 quid in red, from 33 losers and 32 winners and 1 breakeven out of 66 selections for the 14th Series.

11:29pm, 26-05-12, some weekly reflections:

"

Another setback in mooriver fun bet trading this week. Got frozen from the very beginning when things went really against my weekend studies and didn't manage to switch into

the scalping mode until Wednesday, by Friday, recovered a bit, but the fun bets are now in the red by 266 quid with a winning trade shorting ftse stilll floating. Need to continue to trim expectations and scalp all the way! When I do get going in scalping, it feels very good, to be honest, need to keep in that zone, trial and error, scalp all the way.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5290-4830 (actual: 5223-5410);

Gold: $1606-$1570 (actual: $1599-$1533);

Cable: $1.5460-$1.5860 (actual: $1.5630-$1.5848);

Nymex: $94-$85 (actual: $93.34-$89.29);

SPX500: 1304-1210 (actual: 1331-1290);

Barclays: 197-166 pence (actual: 189-175 pence);

BP: 410-380 pence (actual: 409-391 pence).

Well, probably underestimated the internal fights between the big boys, so will try to pin them in the coming week.

Have a nice weekend."

15:39pm, 25-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5349.

15:30pm, 25-05-12, chopped for 14 quid, so that is 266 quid in red, from 33 losers and 31 winners and 1 breakeven out of 65 selections for the 14th Series.

14:41pm, 25-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5330.

14:08pm, 25-05-12, banked 110 quid, so that is 252 quid in red, from 32 losers and 31 winners and 1 breakeven out of 64 selections for the 14th Series.

08:33am, 25-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5370.

08:22am, 25-05-12, lost that short, so that is 362 quid in red, from 32 losers and 30 winners and 1 breakeven out of 63 selections for the 14th Series.

18:52pm, 24-05-12, lost 14 quid, and highlighted my fun short 5324, so that is 262 quid in red, from 31 losers and 30 winners and 1 breakeven out of 62 selections for the 14th Series.

18:45pm, 24-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5330.

18:44pm, 24-05-12, lost 2 quid, so that is 248 quid in red, from 30 losers and 30 winners and 1 breakeven out of 61 selections for the 14th Series.

18:28pm, 24-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5325.

18:24pm, 24-05-12, come out at breakeven, so that is 246 quid in red, from 29 losers and 30 winners and 1 breakeven out of 60 selections for the 14th Series.

18:14pm, 24-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5332.

18:07pm, 24-05-12, banked 8 quid, so that is 246 quid in red, from 29 losers and 30 winners out of 59 selections for the 14th Series.

12:07pm, 24-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5340.

11:53am, 24-05-12, what a freezing mess this morning, lost that one, so that is 254 quid in red, from 29 losers and 29 winners out of 58 selections for the 14th Series.

08:12am, 24-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5305.

08:10am, 24-05-12, lost 32 quid, so that is 154 quid in red, from 28 losers and 29 winners out of 57 selections for the 14th Series.

08:06am, 24-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5323.

08:03am, 24-05-12, lost a 20, so that is 122 quid in red, from 27 losers and 29 winners out of 56 selections for the 14th Series.

07:33am, 24-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5313.

21:42pm, 23-05-12, lost 36 quid, so that is 102 quid in red, from 26 losers and 29 winners out of 55 selections for the 14th Series.

20:28pm, 23-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5304.

20:12pm, 23-05-12, banked 48 quid, so that is 66 quid in red, from 25 losers and 29 winners out of 54 selections for the 14th Series.

19:35pm, 23-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5269.

18:17pm, 23-05-12, banked 96 quid, so that is 114 quid in red, from 25 losers and 28 winners out of 53 selections for the 14th Series.

14:14pm, 23-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5311.

14:07pm, 23-05-12, banked 34 quid, so that is 210 quid in red, from 25 losers and 27 winners out of 52 selections for the 14th Series.

13:35pm, 23-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5296.

13:31pm, 23-05-12, banked 6 quid, so that is 244 quid in red, from 25 losers and 26 winners out of 51 selections for the 14th Series.

13:13pm, 23-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5300.

13:12pm, 23-05-12, lost 4 quid, so that is 250 quid in red, from 25 losers and 25 winners out of 50 selections for the 14th Series.

10:46am, 23-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5306.

10:24am, 23-05-12, banked 38 quid, so that is 246 quid in red, from 24 losers and 25 winners out of 49 selections for the 14th Series.

09:52am, 23-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5318.

09:46am, 23-05-12, lost 50 quid, so that is 284 quid in red, from 24 losers and 24 winners out of 48 selections for the 14th Series.

09:08am, 23-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5336.

09:05am, 23-05-12, banked 8 quid, so that is 234 quid in red, from 23 losers and 24 winners out of 47 selections for the 14th Series.

08:25am, 23-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5340.

08:23am, 23-05-12, lost 18 quid, so that is 242 quid in red, from 23 losers and 23 winners out of 46 selections for the 14th Series.

08:19am, 23-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5347.

07:18pm, 23-05-12, banked 40 quid, was expecting more, but there is a huge opening gap back over 5400, so that is 224 quid in red, from 22 losers and 23 winners out of 45 selections for the 14th Series.

12:35pm, 22-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5364.

12:33pm, 22-05-12, lost a tenner, so that is 264 quid in red, from 22 losers and 22 winners out of 44 selections for the 14th Series.

22-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5370.

22-05-12, lost 50 quid, so that is 254 quid in red, from 21 losers and 22 winners out of 43 selections for the 14th Series.

21:08pm, 21-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5347.

20:58pm, 21-05-12, lost that long, so that is 204 quid in red, from 20 losers and 22 winners out of 42 selections for the 14th Series.

09:08am, 21-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5300.

09:02am, 21-05-12, lost that long, so that is 104 quid in red, from 19 losers and 22 winners out of 41 selections for the 14th Series.

07:36am, 21-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5249.

07:33am, 21-05-12, lost 36 quid, so that is 4 quid in red, from 18 losers and 22 winners out of 40 selections for the 14th Series.

07:20am, 21-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5266 for a scalp.

05:38am, 21-05-12, limit hit on the long at breakeven, so lost 2 quid due to interest charges, so that is 32 quid in profit, from 17 losers and 22 winners out of 39 selections for the 14th Series.

11:03am, 19-05-12, some weekly reflections:

"

In terms of the fun bet trading, the King Scalper is coming back and Wednesday was a perfect example of successful scalping if you care to look at the records on the HQ. A bit hectic, but that is how trading should be done, long and short as seen fit, no hesitations there at all. It is still taking shape for this mooriver scalping with a few setbacks along the way as old habits die hard. The fun bet series is at 34 quid in profit with an outstanding scalping bet in paper loss, so we are more or less back to square one for the new series, which is running at a fast and furious pace.

In terms of Mooriverwatching, this must be a disaster week, as I didn't deem this one as a Black Swan Week, and went about it as usual, without adjusting for the unusual possibilities.

Before we compare reality with fantasy, we have to congratulate our MS as the Moostar Trader of the week as he shone like a star, pinpointing the downwards movement very nicely. Well done, MS, you are our Moostar of the week. And thanks to Raffles who continue to support me with his wise analysis.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

SPX500: 1324-1374 (actual: 1292-1354);

FTSE 100: 5380-5670 (actual: 5226-5543);

Nymex: $92.70-$98.90 (actual: $91.08-$95.79);

Cable: $1.6050-$1.6260 (actual: $1.5733-$1.6123);

Gold: $1600-$1530 (actual: $1598-$1527, wow);

Barclays: 196-215 pence (actual: 176-200 pence);

BP: 405-433 pence (actual: 390-411 pence).

Well, gold is the lonesome star standing up for the mooriverwatcher this week!!!

To be honest, for daily spreadbetting, we don't really depend on these weeklies at all. It is all about trial and error in scalping up and down as seen fit!

Have a nice weekend, folks, maybe after the coming week, everyone can have a breather!"

20:07pm, 18-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5250 on GS for a scalp for short-covering before the G8.

19:52pm, 18-05-12, grabbed 52 quid, so that is 34 quid in profit, from 16 losers and 22 winners out of 38 selections for the 14th Series.

16:15pm, 18-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5274 on ftse.

16:07pm, 18-05-12, lost 40 quid, so that is 18 quid in red, from 16 losers and 21 winners out of 37 selections for the 14th Series.

14:28pm, 18-05-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5298.

11:06am, 18-05-12, banked 66 quid, so that is 22 quid in profit, from 15 losers and 21 winners out of 36 selections for the 14th Series.

10:17am, 18-05-12, lost that long, and highlighted my fun long 5259 on ftse, so that is 44 quid in red, from 15 losers and 20 winners out of 35selections for the 14th Series.

09:10am, 18-05-12, chopped the short for 24 quid, and highlighted my fun long on ftse 5306, so that is 56 quid in profit, from 14 losers and 20 winners out of 34 selections for the 14th Series.

09:02am, 18-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5294 for a scalp.

08:59am, 18-05-12, lost 12 quid, so that is 80 quid in profit, from 13 losers and 20 winners out of 33 selections for the 14th Series.

08:56am, 18-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5300 on ftse.

08:54am, 18-05-12, nicked 4 quid, so that is 92 quid in profit, from 12 losers and 20 winners out of 32 selections for the 14th Series.

08:38am, 18-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5302.

08:28am, 18-05-12, grabbed 28 quid, so that is 88 quid in profit, from 12 losers and 19 winners out of 31 selections for the 14th Series.

08:17am, 18-05-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5288.

08:11am, 18-05-12, grabbed 24 quid, so that is 60 quid in profit, from 12 losers and 18 winners out of 30 selections for the 14th Series.

07:44am, 18-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5276 on ftse.

07:35am, 18-05-12, grabbed 50 quid, so that is 36 quid in profit, from 12 losers and 17 winners out of 29 selections for the 14th Series

06:51am, 18-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5250 on ftse.

21:17pm, 17-05-12, lost that long, so that is 14 quid in red, from 12 losers and 16 winners out of 28 selections for the 14th Series

16:44pm, 17-05-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5333.

16:36pm, 17-05-12, lost that one for fifty, so that is 86 quid in profit, from 11 losers and 16 winners out of 27 selections for the 14th Series.

16:21pm, 17-05-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9306.

15:03pm, 17-05-12, chopped for 44 quid, so that is 136 quid in profit, from 10 losers and 16 winners out of 26 selections for the 14th Series.

11:37am, 17-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5344 on ftse.

11:35am, 17-05-12, lost the long, so that is 180 quid in profit, from 9 losers and 16 winners out of 25 selections for the 14th Series.

16:42pm, 16-05-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5398.

16:18pm, 16-05-12, banked 36 quid, so that is 280 quid in profit, from 8 losers and 16 winners out of 24 selections for the 14th Series.

14:58pm, 16-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5441.

14:55pm, 16-05-12, banked 44 quid, so that is 244 quid in profit, from 8 losers and 15 winners out of 23 selections for the 14th Series.

14:43pm, 16-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5418 on ftse.

14:39pm, 16-05-12, banked 18 quid, so that is 200 quid in profit, from 8 losers and 14 winners out of 22 selections for the 14th Series.

13:14pm, 16-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5427 for a scalp.

13:05pm, 16-05-12, lost a tenner, not too bad, got the entry wrong, lucky to survive, so that is 182 quid in profit, from 8 losers and 13 winners out of 21 selections for the 14th Series.

20:03pm, 15-05-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5419 (seems to have forgotten to record this one), still stuck on this one.

17:11pm, 15-05-12, chopped for 12 quid, so that is 192 quid in profit, from 7 losers and 13 winners out of 20 selections for the 14th Series.

16:54pm, 15-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5438 on GS.

14:37pm, 15-05-12, grabbed 56 quid, so that is 204 quid in profit, from 6 losers and 13 winners out of 19 selections for the 14th Series.

14:16pm, 15-05-12, highlighted my fun long 5422 on ftse.

14:08pm, 15-05-12, grabbed 64 quid, so that is 148 quid in profit, from 6 losers and 12 winners out of 18 selections for the 14th Series.

13:44pm, 15-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5466.

13:07pm, 15-05-12, banked 8 quid, suddenly wavering a bit, so that is 84 quid in profit, from 6 losers and 11 winners out of 17selections for the 14th Series.

12:47pm, 15-05-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5456 for a scalp.

09:40am, 15-05-12, banked 40 quid, so that is 76 quid in profit, from 6 losers and 10 winners out of 16 selections for the 14th Series.

08:31am, 15-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5492.

08:25am, 15-05-12, banked 27 quid, so that is 36 quid in profit, from 6 losers and 9 winners out of 15 selections for the 14th Series.

06:58am, 15-05-12, highlighted my fun long on dow 12737.

21:36pm, 14-05-12, lost that one, so that is 9 quid in profit, from 6 losers and 8 winners out of 14 selections for the 14th Series.

09:27am, 14-05-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5476.

07:33am, 12-05-12, some weekly reflections:

"Suddenly, there is a feeling of ease or at least calm in trading now. While the 13th Series of fun bets ended in the red by £442, but encouragingly, the 14th Series has kicked off

to a good start, standing at £109 in profit currently. Hopefully, this is finally the beginning for consistent profitable trading in the moorivers.

This week's moostar goes to our Raffles, who took it on board to provide me with lots of assistance with chart analysis and videos etc, while running his excellent Berkeley Studio (the home of Sporting Art, http://www.berkeleystudio.co.uk/, prices ranging from a fiver a piece to more expensive ones). If you mention Raffles in your orders, I am sure he knows where you are coming from. So Raffles, well done, you are our shining Moostar of the week. Thanks, buddy.

Well, the past week was called a Black Swan Week, so let's have a look at my forecasts and compare them with the actual outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5065-5642 (actual: 5463-5668);

SPX500: 1366-1220 (actual: 1374-1343);

Silver: $30.37-$31.44 (actual: $30.39-$28.46, gone very wrong here, silver always baffles me);

Nymex: $98.52-$89.75 (actual: $98.19-$95.19);

Cable: $1.6148-$1.5810 (actual: $1.6199-$1.6062);

Barclays: 209-163 pence (actual: 211-196 pence);

BP: 422-376 pence (actual: 424-401 pence).

Well, it is a week that one never knew how bad it could get to, so we will just move on and work on the forecasts for the coming week, which should be more straight forward!

Have a nice weekend, folks."

19:54pm, 11-05-12, lost 11 quid, so that is 109 quid in profit, from 5 losers and 8 winners out of 13 selections for the 14th Series.

19:47pm, 11-05-12, highlighted my fun long on dow 12850.

19:46pm, 11-05-12, lost a tenner, so that is 120 quid in profit, from 4 losers and 8 winners out of 12 selections for the 14th Series.

19:36pm, 11-05-12, highlighted my fun short on spx500 1357.5.

19:31pm, 11-05-12, out for 3 quid profit, so that is 130 quid in profit, from 3 losers and 8 winners out of 11 selections for the 14th Series.

19:14pm, 11-05-12, highlighted my fun long on dow 12848 for a scalp.

15:45pm, 11-05-12, banked 103 quid, so that is 127 quid in profit, from 3 losers and 7 winners out of 10 selections for the 14th Series.

07:16am, 11-05-12, highlighted my fun long on dow 12783.

18:06pm, 10-05-12, grabbed 30 quid, 12900ish a bit sticky, so that is 24 quid in profit, from 3 losers and 6 winners out of 9 selections for the 14th Series

16:02pm, 10-05-12, highlighted my fun long on dow 12867.

15:40pm, 10-05-12, lost a tenner, so that is 4 quid in red, from 3 losers and 5 winners out of 8 selections for the 14th Series

14:42pm, 10-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5546 for a scalp.

14:34pm, 10-05-12, banked 52 quid, so that is 6 quid in profit, from 2 losers and 5 winners out of 6 selections for the 14th Series

09:40pm, 10-05-12, highlighted my fun long on dow 12838.

09:08am, 10-05-12, banked 50 quid, so that is 46 quid in the red, from 2 losers and 4 winners out of 6 selections for the 14th Series

07:20am, 10-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5544 for a scalp.

20:03pm, 09-05-12, grabbed 8 quid, so that is 96 quid in the red, from 2 losers and 3 winners out of 5 selections for the 14th Series.

18:07pm, 09-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5529.

17:42pm, 09-05-12, banked 18 quid, so that is 104 quid in the red, from 2 losers and 2 winners out of 4 selections for the 14th Series.

16:29pm, 09-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5525 on ftse.

16:12pm, 09-05-12, lost that one, so that is 122 quid in the red, from 2 losers and 1 winner out of 3 selections.

15:29pm, 09-05-12, highlighted my fun short 1343 on spx 500.

15:29pm, 09-05-12, lost 130 quid, so that is 22 quid in the red, from one winner and one loser out of 2 selections for the 14th Series of fun bets.

08:25am, 09-05-12, highlighted my fun long on spx500 1356.

20:23pm, 08-05-12, grabbed 108 quid, we have kicked off the 14th series in style, so 1 winner out of 1 selection.

17:53pm, 08-05-12, highlighted my fun long on spx500 1351.2 on guarateed stoploss.

17:48pm, 08-05-12, banked 148 quid, so that is 44 winners and 52 losers and 4 breakevens out of 100 selections for 442 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:46pm, 07-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5634.

14:42pm, 07-05-12, lost that short, so that is 43 winners and 52 losers and 4 breakevens out of 99 selections for 590 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

12:53pm, 07-05-12, highlighted my fun short on spx 500 1359.5.

08:32am, 07-05-12, grabbed on the spx short, so that is 43 winners and 51 losers and 4 breakevens out of 98 selections for 490 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:37pm, 05-05-12, some weekly reflections as below:

"

Was having a purple run until Friday, was having one winner after another, which is very heart-warming. Then, my greed took me away from indices to the crazy oilie and got

punished again. I have since removed oil from my trading list, so I won't see it and won't trade it any more, though will still study it for the benefit of those in the wider audience

who might be more concerned about the price of oil in terms of its impact on the economy. The fun bets series stands at 675 quid in the red, need a black plunge on the SPX500 to wipe out all the redness there in one go. I am just a bit concerned whether my forecasts are actually tainted with this inner desire this weekend, as there is that ongoing

short on SPX500 from Friday, which is currently in profit.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE100: 5750-5950 (actual: 5639-5820);

SPX500: 1395-1425 (actual: 1366-1416);

Barclays: 215-264 pence (actual: 207-229 pence);

BP: 430-480 pence (actual: 421-448 pence);

Gold: $1700-$1662 (actual: $1672-$1637);

Nymex: $108.30-$104 (actual: $106.43-$97.52);

Cable: $1.6030-$1.6500 (actual: $1.6141-$1.6302).

Well, it was going the right way until they all reached the top of their bearflags. To be honest, I knew there was some shakes to come, but was finding it hard to see how the falls can be incorporated, what a laugh! The falls are yet to come. Soon, we could be back to square one, as this rally has carried too many bubbles of optimism with no foundations.

This coming week is really a Black Swan Week, so better forecasts to come only after this coming week, as we all need to find out the results of all these elections in Europe!

Have a nice weekend, folks."

15:38pm, 04-05-12, highlighted my fun short on spx500 1374.2.

15:21pm, 04-05-12, lost that one too, so that is 42 winners and 51 losers and 4 breakevens out of 97 selections for 675 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:04pm, 04-05-12, lost that one, highlighted my fun long on nymex 10035 on guaranteed stoploss, so that is 42 winners and 50 losers and 4 breakevens out of 96 selections for 575 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

11:01am, 04-05-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 10130 on guaranteed stoploss.

10:01am, 04-05-12, banked a tenner, so that is 42 winners and 49 losers and 4 breakevens out of 95 selections for 475 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

21:03pm, 03-05-12, highlighted my fun short on spx500 1390.

20:55pm, 03-05-12, lost 72 quid, so that is 41 winners and 49 losers and 4 breakevens out of 94 selections for 485 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

10:57am, 03-05-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse on Guaranteed stoploss at 5783.

08:16am, 03-05-12, banked 86 quid, so that is 41 winners and 48 losers and 4 breakevens out of 93 selections for 413 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

13:27pm, 02-05-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5754.

11:58am, 02-05-12, banked 80 quid, so that is 40 winners and 48 losers and 4 breakevens out of 92 selections for 499 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:10am, 02-05-12, banked 95 quid on the barclays long, so that is 39 winners and 48 losers and 4 breakevens out of 91 selections for 579 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:08am, 02-05-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5809.

20:18pm, 01-05-12, chopped for a fiver, so that is 38 winners and 48 losers and 4 breakevens out of 90 selections for 674 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

18:22pm, 01-05-12, highlighted my fun short 5811 on ftse.

16:28pm, 01-05-12, banked the ftse long at 5816, so that is 38 winners and 47 losers and 4 breakevens out of 89 selections for 669 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

09:52am, 28-04-12, some weekly reflections below:

"

Had a bright start to the week and then went into the search for pinning the perfect bottom for April, which went very wrong. But we ended the week on a bright

note, so far, sitting on the two winning longs on Barclays Bank and FTSE 100 with promise of more profits to come in the coming week. So overall, not too bad, though the

deficit on the fun bet series increased a touch to £772, which could all be wiped out in the coming week, in one whoooooooooooooshing go.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5780-5580 (actual: 5791-5637);

SPX500: 1381-1328 (actual: 1407-1359);

Cable: $1.6030-$1.6260 (actual: $1.6077-$1.6281);

Gold: $1648-$1525 (actual: $1668-$1623);

Nymex: $104.60-$98.70 (actual: $105-$101.83);

Barclays: 195-225 pence (actual: 203-225 pence);

BP: 413-452 pence (actual: 424-447 pence).

Think the mooriver watcher is still delivering good forecasts!

Have a nice weekend, folks."

15:03am, 27-04-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5763.

10:43am, 27-04-12, grabbed 60 quid on ftse, so that is 37 winners and 47 losers and 4 breakevens out of 88 selections for 772 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

10:28am, 26-04-12, highlighted my fun long 5730 on ftse.

08:46am, 26-04-12, highlighted my fun long on barclays shares at 214 pence.

08:42am, 26-04-12, lost that one too, so that is 36 winners and 47 losers and 4 breakevens out of 87 selections for 832 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

19:07pm, 25-04-12, highlighted my fun short on spx500 1385.5.

19:06pm, 25-04-12, lost 14 quid, so that is 36 winners and 46 losers and 4 breakevens out of 86 selections for 731 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

18:02pm, 25-04-12, highlighted my fun long on GS on ftse 5721, 50 limit.

17:28pm, 25-04-12, banked 40 quid, so that is 36 winners and 45 losers and 4 breakevens out of 85 selections for 717 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:52pm, 25-04-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5733.

14:46pm, 25-04-12, lost that one so that is 35 winners and 45 losers and 4 breakevens out of 84 selections for 757 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

06:48am, 25-04-12, highlighted my fun short on spx500 1378.5.

06:09am, 25-04-12, got chopped by the flying Apple, so that is 35 winners and 44 losers and 4 breakevens out of 83 selections for 657 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

21:10pm, 23-04-12, highlighted my fun short on spx500 1368.8.

20:41pm, 23-04-12, nicked 24 quid, so that is 35 winners and 43 losers and 4 breakevens out of 82 selections for 557 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

18:56pm, 23-04-12, highlighted my fun long on spx500 1364.2.

18:53pm, 23-04-12, got that one wrong, chopped, so that is 34 winners and 43 losers and 4 breakevens out of 81 selections for 581 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:55pm, 23-04-12, highlihghted my fun short on ftse 5652.

08:54am, 23-04-12, grabbed, so that is 34 winners and 42 losers and 4 breakevens out of 80 selections for 525 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:42am, 21-04-12, some weekly reflections:

"

Well, SPX500 is very much tradable, that much I learnt and it could have been a lot better. Still, over the week, no full whacks and had a profitable Tuesday too (a small and dizzy one) which is a first for ages. Overall, the fun bets deficit has now been reduced to 637 quid in red. There is hope!

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5500-5860 (actual: 5625-5793);

SPX500: 1350-1392 (actual: 1364-1394);

Cable: $1.5800-$1.6030(actual: $1.5819-$1.6149);

Nymex: $100.50-$105.30 (actual: $101.81-$105.07);

Gold: $1666-$1594 (actual: $1658-$1631);

BP: 430-477 pence (actual: 429-453 pence);

Barclays: 203-233 pence (actual: 209-223 pence).

Well, more or less there, really.

Have a nice weekend, folks."

08:41am, 20-04-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5752.

08:26pm, 20-04-12, chopped for 5 quid, so that is 33 winners and 42 losers and 4 breakevens out of 79 selections for 637 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

21:15pm, 19-04-12, highlighted my fun short on spx 1376.7.

19:08pm, 19-04-12, finally grabbed 90 quid, very disappointed indeed, so that is 33 winners and 41 losers and 4 breakevens out of 78 selections for 632 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:08am, 18-08-12, highlighted my fun short on spx500 1387.3.

21:23pm, 17-04-12, grabbed 28 quid, the first winning Tuesday ever for a long run, well a small one, so that is 32 winners and 41 losers and 4 breakevens out of 77 selections for 722 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

18:15pm, 17-04-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5773.

16:52pm, 17-04-12, grabbed 6 quid, so that is 31 winners and 41 losers and 4 breakevens out of 76 selections for 750 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

16:09pm, 17-04-12, highlighted my fun short 10453 on nymex.

16:03pm, 17-04-12, grabbed 42 quid, so that is 30 winners and 41 losers and 4 breakevens out of 75 selections for 756 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

15:21pm, 17-04-12, highlighted my fun long 1383 on spx500.

15:19pm, 17-04-12, lost 50 quid there, so that is 29 winners and 41 losers and 4 breakevens out of 74 selections for 798 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:57pm, 17-04-12, highlighted my fun short 1378 on spx500.

14:55pm, 17-04-12, got out at breakeven, so that is 29 winners and 40 losers and 4 breakevens out of 73 selections for 748 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:07pm, 17-04-12, lost 26 quid, highlighted my fun long 5731 on ftse, so that is 29 winners and 40 losers and 3 breakevens out of 72 selections for 748 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

10:53am, 17-04-12, highlighted my fun short 5717 on ftse.

10:06am, 17-04-12, nicked 18 quid, so that is 29 winners and 39 losers and 3 breakevens out of 71 selections for 722 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

09:37am, 17-04-12, highlighted my fun long on spx500 1373.3.

09:34am, 17-04-12, lost 18 quid, so that is 28 winners and 39 losers and 3 breakevens out of 70 selections for 740 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

09:04am, 17-04-12, highlighted my fun short on spx500 1371.1.

09:00am, 17-04-12, banked 38 quid, on a Tuesday, I call this magic, lol, so that is 28 winners and 38 losers and 3 breakevens out of 69 selections for 722 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:12am, 17-04-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5674.

18:09pm, 16-04-12, banked 14 quid, so that is 27 winners and 38 losers and 3 breakevens out of 68 selections for 760 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

15:08pm, 16-04-12, out of the long for 14 quid loss and into a short on ftse 5683, so that is 26 winners and 38 losers and 3 breakevens out of 67 selections for 774 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:57pm, 16-04-12, highlighted my fun long 5690 on ftse.

14:51pm, 16-04-12, lost a tenner on that one, so that is 26 winners and 37 losers and 3 breakevens out of 66 selections for 760 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

12:37pm, 16-04-12, highlighted my fun short 1373.4 on spx500.

12:23pm, 16-04-12, chopped for a fiver loss, so that is 26 winners and 36 losers and 3 breakevens out of 65 selections for 750 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:39am, 16-04-12, highlighted my fun long on cable 15838.

17:16pm, 14-04-12, our Mooriver horse Seabass got third, thought she was going to make history today!!!

15:18pm, 14-04-12, nominted a third Mooriver Horse According to Pete at 25/1 for the Grand National 2012!!!!

09:25am, 14-04-12, some weekly reflections:

"

Still not turning things around just yet, but trading spx500 seems to be a step in the right direction. I have actually been having a good mooriver map for SPX500 for a while now, but

will be trading it more often from here onwards. It just feels better that way. The fun bets are still in red for 745 quid, but we are not done yet for the series, so there is still time to make amends for that.

This week, I will award our MS as Moostar Trader of the week, as he seems to be back on track now with some good trades and good calls. Well done, buddy, nice to see you back in the game!

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE100: 5390-5730 (actual: 5538-5733);

SPX500: 1383-1330 (actual: 1393-1357);

Cable: $1.6150-$1.5850 (actual: $1.5985-$1.5809);

Nymex: $104.20-$98.9 (actual: $104.24-$100.69);

Gold: $1550-$1643 (actual: $1632-$1680);

BP: 430-487 pence (actual: 434-454 pence);

Barclays: 210-238 pence (actual: 206-224 pence).

Overestimated the downside to some extent, otherwise, quite alright bunch of forecasts.

Have a nice weekend, folks."

19:18pm, 13-04-12, out at breakeven, so that is 26 winners and 35 losers and 3 breakevens out of 64 selections for 745 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

16:01pm, 13-04-12, highlighted my fun long on spx 1375.5.

15:45pm, 13-04-12, grabbed 65 quid, so that is 26 winners and 35 losers and 2 breakevens out of 63 selections for 745 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

15:28pm, 13-04-12, taken 60 quid and leave half stake on with a lock, so that is 25 winners and 35 losers and 2 breakevens out of 62 selections for 810 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

12:28pm, 13-04-12, highlighted my fun short on spx 1388.5.

10:43am, 13-04-12, banked 90 quid, so that is 24 winners and 35 losers and 2 breakevens out of 61 selections for 870 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

09:53am, 13-04-12, Friday the 13th, so locked the short now at one choc bar, better be safe than sorry.

18:22pm, 12-04-12, nominated the Mooriver representatives in this year's Grand National: Seabass at 20/1 and West End Rocker at 12/1. Good luck, all, moooooooooooooooooooo.

16:14pm, 12-04-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5727.

16:12pm, 12-04-12, banked 45 quid, so that is 23 winners and 35 losers and 2 breakevens out of 60 selections for 960 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

15:04pm, 12-04-12, highlighted my fun long on spx500 1378.

15:03pm, 12-04-12, lost that short, so that is 22 winners and 35 losers and 2 breakevens out of 59 selections for 1005 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

13:44pm 11-04-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5633.

11:05am, 11-04-12, lost 131 quid, so that is 22 winners and 34 losers and 2 breakevens out of 58 selections for 904 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

20:48pm, 10-04-12, highlighted my fun short on spx 1359, limit 1331.

20:46pm, 10-04-12, lost 48 quid, so that is 22 winners and 33 losers and 2 breakevens out of 57 selections for 773 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

17:26pm, 10-04-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5571.

17:22pm, 10-04-12, banked 95 quid, not bad, so that is 22 winners and 32 losers and 2 breakevens out of 56 selections for 725 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

16:34pm, 10-04-12, highlighted my fun short on spx 1373.

16:30pm, 10-04-12, lost that long, another bloody Tuesday, so that is 21 winners and 32 losers and 2 breakevens out of 55 selections for 820 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

12:31pm, 09-04-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5671.

12:29pm, 09-04-12, lost 30 quid, so that is 21 winners and 31 losers and 2 breakevens out of 54 selections for 719 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

21:06pm, 08-04-12, highlighted my fun long on cable 15888, limit for 15950.

10:48am, 07-04-12, some weekly reflections:

"

Another disappointing week, bogged down by Tuesday again! I hate Tuesdays. Was building up a winning run, then it all went pear-shaped. Now the fun bets are well stuck in red by £689, a real struggle in trading these days.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5660-5940 (actual: 5627-5905);

Cable: $1.6000-$1.6270 (actual: $1.6063-$1.5805);

Dow: 13150-13550 (actual: 12892-13296);

Nymex: $98.2-$107 (actual: $101.09-$105.49);

Gold: $1645-$1720 (actual: $1612-$1684);

BP: 448-475 pence (actual: 446-474 pence);

Barclays: 220-252 pence (actual: 214-240 pence).

Have a nice holiday, folks."

19:14pm, 06-04-12, banked 14 quid, so that is 21 winners and 30 losers and 2 breakevens out of 53 selections for 689 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:19pm, 06-04-12, highlighted my fun long 15873 on cable.

13:36pm, 06-04-12, lost that long, so that is 20 winners and 30 losers and 2 breakevens out of 52 selections for 703 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

17:35pm, 05-04-12, highlighted my fun long 5710 on ftse.

16:42pm, 05-04-12, banked 28 quid, so that is 20 winners and 29 losers and 2 breakevens out of 51 selections for 603 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:02am, 05-04-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5708.

20:22pm, 04-04-12, banked a fiver, so that is 19 winners and 29 losers and 2 breakevens out of 50 selections for 631 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

10:07am, 04-04-12, highlighted my fun long on cable 15886.

09:58am, 04-04-12, lost 39 quid, so that is 18 winners and 29 losers and 2 breakevens out of 49 selections for 636 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

20:09pm, 03-04-12, lost that long, and highlighted my fun long on ftse 5826, so that is 18 winners and 28 losers and 2 breakevens out of 48 selections for 597 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

11:17am, 03-04-12, highlighted my fun long on cable 16014.

11:16am, 03-04-12, grabbed 48 quid, so that is 18 winners and 27 losers and 2 breakevens out of 47 selections for 497 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:36am, 03-04-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5887.

08:29am, 03-04-12, grabbed 30 quid, a bit baffled, so that is 17 winners and 27 losers and 2 breakevens out of 46 selections for 535 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:20pm, 02-04-12, highlighted my fun long on cable 15998.

10:06am, 02-04-12, grabbed the money on the cable long, so that is 16 winners and 27 losers and 2 breakevens out of 45 selections for 565 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

11:30am, 31-03-12, some weekly reflections as follows:

"How time flies! It is getting to April Fool's Day already. Well, it has not been a great start to 2012, well, I got well stuck in some mud in Q1. Without a sticky Tuesday, the past week would have been a success. Still, the fun bet series is stuck in the red at 633 quid in the red, after 44 selections (that Tuesday mistake cost at 210 quid, so otherwise it would have been a completely different story, odd, as I had that perfect mooriver map on SPX500). Anyway, after my break, in the later half of the week, I started trading with a bit more confidence again, which felt good. Let's hope it continues into next week.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 6010-5830 (actual: 5943-5725);

SPX500: 1427-1388 (actual: 1425-1391);

Euro/dollar: $1.3230-$1.3500 (actual: $1.3192-$1.3386);

Nymex: $105.40-$112 (actual: $102.14-$107.72);

Gold: $1690-$1615 (actual: $1697-$1645);

BP: 512-472 pence (actual: 485-457 pence);

Barclays: 255-240 pence (actual: 257-234 pence).

Well, given the fact that I had been away from the markets for 2-3 weeks, this is not really a bad bunch of studies.

Have a nice weekend, folks."

15:46pm, 30-03-12, highlighted my fun long on cable 15987.

15:36pm, 30-03-12, lost 48 quid, so that is 15 winners and 27 losers and 2 breakevens out of 44 selections for 633 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:58pm, 30-03-12, highlighted my fun long 5781 on ftse.

14:55pm, 30-03-12, came out at breakeven, bored with it, so that is 15 winners and 26 losers and 2 breakevens out of 43selections for 585 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

11:54am, 30-03-12, highlighted my fun short on spx500 1409.

09:50am, 30-03-12, lost a tenner, not a good idea, so that is 15 winners and 26 losers and 1 breakeven out of 42 selections for 585 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

09:10am, 30-03-12, highlighted my fun short on spx500 1406.5.

08:59am, 29-03-12, banked 115 quid, so that is 15 winners and 25 losers and 1 breakeven out of 41 selections for 575 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:51pm, 29-03-12, highlighted my fun long on cable 15897.

14:25pm, 29-03-12, lost a tenner, so that is 14 winners and 25 losers and 1 breakeven out of 40 selections for 690 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

12:53pm, 29-03-12, highlighted my fun long on cable 15887.

12:49pm, 29-03-12, lost a tenner, so that is 14 winners and 24 losers and 1 breakeven out of 39 selections for 680 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

12:27pm, 29-03-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5769.

12:12pm, 29-03-12, lost 31 quid, so that is 14 winners and 23 losers and 1 breakeven out of 38 selections for 670 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

10:31am, 29-03-12, highlighted my fun long 15901 on cable.

10:27am, 29-03-12, banked 76 quid, so that is 14 winners and 22 losers and 1 breakeven out of 37 selections for 639 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

09:17am, 29-03-12, highlighted my fun short 5802 on ftse.

09:06am, 29-03-12, banked 55 quid, so that is 13 winners and 22 losers and 1 breakeven out of 36 selections for 715 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

17:55pm, 28-03-12, highlighted my fun long on cable 15861.

17:52pm, 28-03-12, banked 66 quid, so that is 12 winners and 22 losers and 1 breakeven out of 35 selections for 770 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

15:56pm, 28-03-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5817, 5710 limit.

15:35pm, 28-03-12, finally lost that long, so that is 11 winners and 22 losers and 1 breakeven out of 34 selections for 836 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

10:50am, 26-03-12, lost 26 quid, and highlighted my fun long 5878 on ftse, so that is 11 winners and 21 losers and 1 breakeven out of 33 selections for 736 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:26am, 26-03-12, chopped that long for 32 quid, now highlighted my fun short at 5865 on ftse, 11 winners and 20 losers and 1 breakeven out of 32 selections for 710 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

07:16am, 26-03-12, highlighted my fun long 5881 on ftse.

18:55pm, 23-03-12, lost that short, so that is 11 winners and 19 losers and 1 breakeven out of 31 selections for 678 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

15:36pm, 23-03-12, highlighted my fun short 5839 on ftse.

15:28pm, 23-03-12, lost 28 quid, so that is 11 winners and 18 losers and 1 breakeven out of 30 selections for 628 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:41pm, 23-03-12, highlighted my fun short 5821 on ftse.

14:13pm, 23-03-12, lost that long, so that is 11 winners and 17 losers and 1 breakeven out of 29 selections for 600 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

19:48pm, 22-03-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5850.

19:44pm, 22-03-12, nicked 4 quid, so that is 11 winners and 16 losers and 1 breakeven out of 28 selections for 498 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:37am, 22-03-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5852.

08:35am, 22-03-12, lost that long, so that is 10 winners and 16 losers and 1 breakeven out of 27 selections for 502 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

13:32pm, 21-03-12, highlighted my fun long 5900 on ftse.

05:54am, 19-03-12, lost the dow short, so that is 10 winners and 15 losers and 1 breakeven out of 26 selections for 401 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets. Highlighted my fun limit short order at 6010, 50 stop for 180 pointer. Am on a break and will be back to resume normal trading on Wednesday.

08:05am, 14-03-12, highlighted my fun short on dow 13172, limit for 100.

08:01am, 14-03-12, banked 30 quid, so that is 10 winners and 14 losers and 1 breakeven out of 25 selections for 301 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:36am, 08-03-12, highlighted my fun long on Barclays share, 242p, limit for 255p.

08:15am, 08-03-12, lost that short, so that is 9 winners and 14 losers and 1 breakeven out of 24 selections for 331 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

10:13am, 07-03-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5775 for a small scalp.

07:17am, 07-03-12, come out breakeven with the dividend, so that is 9 winners and 13 losers and 1 breakeven out of 23 selections for 230 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

15:33pm, 06-03-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5769.

15:15pm, 06-03-12, lost a full whack, annoyed, so that is 9 winners and 13 losers out of 22 selections for 230 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

09:39am, 06-03-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5820, D3 job and the yankies ain't here yet and the ftse dividend 11.2, so bodes well.

09:33am, 06-03-12, grabbed 52 quid, so that is 9 winners and 12 losers out of 21 selections for 130 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:45am, 06-03-12, highlighted my fun short 5854 on ftse.

07:58am, 06-03-12, lost the long on the little artificial spike, so that is 8 winners and 12 losers out of 20 selections for 182 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

19:07pm, 05-03-12, highlighted my fun long 5879 on ftse.

16:31pm, 05-03-12, chopped for 6 quid, not happy with it, so that is 8 winners and 11 losers out of 19 selections for 131 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

15:23pm, 05-03-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5878.

14:09pm, 05-03-12, grabbed 34 quid, so that is 8 winners and 10 losers out of 18 selections for 125 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

12:21pm, 05-03-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5885, tighter stoploss.

10:58am, 05-03-12, grabbed the money on the ftse short, a bit disappointed, but there was no umph for the bears so far, so wait and see, so that is 7 winners and 10 losers out of 17 selections for 159 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:43am, 03-03-12, some weekly reflections as follows:

"

Well, for me, the past week has been one of enlightenment as I suddenly see what I need to see and I am sure this is going to improve trading for the weeks ahead. For now though, the bad mistake on Thursday was a costly one, which made a material difference to the week as the fun bets series ended in the red by £259, but there is one current fun short on ftse from 5939 showing some paper profit there. Without that bad Thursday, it would have been so different. Then again, I have finally seen the light and let's see what happens in the coming week.

Currently, there are no consistent winners in the Club. I think J did the best in the past week with some good trades on SPX500, but it has been a choppy week. Our former Moostar trader MS has been very quiet these days, guess he is still fighting over his bearish intents. But it is a bull market, MS, so need to be as flexible as possible.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5930-5770 (actual: 5953-5845);

SPX500: 1365-1320 (actual: 1378-1355);

Euro/dollar: $1.3300-$1.3770 (actual: $1.3486-$1.3187);

Nymex: $112.30-$102.80 (actual: $110.55-$104.85);

Gold: $1858-$1772 (actual: $1791-$1688);

BP: 497-465 pence (actual: 506-491 pence);

Barclays: 248-230 pence (actual: 260-239 pence).

I am not too worried about the lack of top-quality forecasts here, as my forecasts have always been much better than my trading. The problem for me is the duality between a mooriverwatcher and a moorivertrader, the former requires me to gaze into the future with a certain degree of conviction and the latter demands to trade the markets as they come, with no prior convictions/expectations at all. While it has been an engaging and often entertaining enterprise to provide these weekly forecasts, I have to admit that I have so far failed to trade with consistent successes given the complications of this duality. Well, I have seen one way out of it in the past week and will give it a go and see whether it improves trading.

Have a nice weekend, folks, pretty foggy here."

19:39pm, 01-03-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5939.

19:22pm, 01-03-12, lost 120 quid, so that is 6 winners and 10 losers out of 16 selections for 259 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

09:03am, 01-03-12, highlighted my fun short 5883 on ftse.

08:15am, 01-03-12, banked 120 quid, so that is 6 winners and 9 losers out of 15 selections for 139 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:16am, 29-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5929.

08:13am, 29-02-12, chopped the dow long for a tenner, so that is 5 winners and 9 losers out of 14 selections for 259 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

20:08pm, 27-02-12, highlighted my fun long on dow 13017.

19:58pm, 27-02-12, lost 60 quid, so that is 5 winners and 8 losers out of 13 selections for 249 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

15:32pm, 27-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5884.

15:29pm, 27-02-12, lost 2 quid, so that is 5 winners and 7 losers out of 12 selections for 189 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

12:15pm, 27-02-12, highlighted my fun long 5886 on ftse.

12:12pm, 27-02-12, lost 18 quid, so that is 5 winners and 6 losers out of 11selections for 187 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

11:58am, 27-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5879.

11:56am, 27-02-12, lost 22 quid, so that is 5 winners and 5 losers out of 10 selections for 169 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

09:01am, 27-02-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5890.

08:58am, 27-02-12, banked 22 quid, so that is 5 winners and 4 losers out of 9 selections for 147 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

08:12am, 27-02-12, highlighted my fun short 5906 on ftse.

08:11am, 27-02-12, lost 14 quid, so that is 4 winners and 4 losers out of 8 selections for 169 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

07:36am, 27-02-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5915.

07:29am, 27-02-12, chopped the euro short, so that is 4 winners and 3 losers out of 7 selections for 155 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

10:51am, 25-02-12, some weekly reflections:

"

When oil hits 110 dollars on nymex this week, I knew I had made a real mess of that opportunity on oil in 2012. Alas, yet another good opportunity not taken advantage of. Seeing is only the start of things, or confusions or frustrations. And the 13th Series has not had a good start either. It is 103 quid in the red. Got frustrated with the lack of movement on ftse, particularly for morning sessions and then made mistakes for yankie openings, being foxed by some fake movements. It has been one very poor run and need some purple luck to the rescue.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

Silver: $34-$29 (actual: $33.38-$35.72, completely wrong!);

Barclays: 260-240 pence (actual: 254-236 pence);

BP: 496-473 pence (actual: 502-493 pence);

Nymex: $107-$103.80 (actual: $109.95-$104.65);

FTSE 100: 6050-5922 (actual: 5972-5894);

SPX500: 1391-1362 (actual: 1371-1352).

Well, we have seen better ones.

Have a nice weekend, folks."

13:16pm, 24-02-12, highlighted my fun short 13410 on euro/dollar.

11:52am, 24-02-12, nicked 2 quid, that is the morning's worth, doh, so that is 4 winners and 2 losers out of 6 selections for 103 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

10:03am, 24-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5944.

08:40am, 24-02-12, grabbed 36 quid, so that is 3 winners and 2 losers out of 5 selections for 105 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

07:53am, 24-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5954.

07:51am, 24-02-12, out of the euro long for a fiver, so that is 2 winners and 2 losers out of 4 selections for 141 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

21:06pm, 23-02-12, highlighted my fun long on euro/dollar $1.3370, limit $1.3600.

21:04pm, 23-02-12, got chopped, so that is 1 winner and 2 losers out of 3 selections for 146 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

14:45pm, 23-02-12, highlighted my fun short 5901 on ftse.

14:42pm, 23-02-12, lost that long for 54 quid, so that is 1 winner and 1 loser out of 2 selections for 46 quid in the red for the 13th Series of fun bets.

07:48am, 19-02-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5938.

06:20am, 19-02-12, the long on ftse got stopped out for a little profit overnight, not happy with that, but it is a winner to start off the 13the Series of fun bets, so that is 1 winner out of 1 selection for a profit of 8 quid for the 13th Series of fun bets.

13:29pm, 18-02-12, some weekly reflections as below:

"

Well, my dream of chasing the riches with oil trades ended in disaster, as the 12th Series of fun bets ended at 1089 pounds in the red. Things really turned nasty this week, as I lost the footing in a fast trending market, trying to scalp up and down, and got heavily punished and then the mind got a bit jammed into a losing boxer with blood over the eyes sort of mentality, lol. It all went very bad since I fatally cashed in that long at 9966, the best position to benefit full from this trendy run. Well, I have to say it turned really nasty. Now need some time to recover and regain my composure and will be focusing on ftse trades for the 13th Series.

There is a silver lining to every dark cloud. This week, our MF turned in a stellar trading performance by doubling his money on Thorntons. How sweet that victory is! Well done, MF, you are our Moostar Trader of the week and let's pay more attention to your alerts highlighting the momentum share plays.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5770-6010 (actual: 5829-5926);

Dow: 12700-13010 (actual: 12722-12967);

Nymex: $111.40-$97.30 (actual: $104.31-$99.10);

Gold: $1735-$1560 (actual: $1737-$1706);

Euro/dollar: $1.3080-$1.3570 (actual: $1.2975-$1.3284);

Barclays: 217-255 pence (actual: 232-251 pence);

BP: 485-517 pence (actual: 483-500 pence).

It is obvious that one side of my brain is better than the other, lol and I am more an artist than a scientist, where trading is pure scientific, if you want to be a winner. You have to trade like a robot. The biggest lesson learnt this week is never scalp in a trending market, particularly in the wild oil market, should have been buying on dips and dives all week.

Have a nice weekend, folks."

20:31pm, 17-02-12, highlighted my fun long on FTSE 5923, on guaranteed stoploss, a small gamble on the future of the global economy, out of this Greek mess.

20:22pm, 17-02-12, banked 14 quid, so that is 1089 pounds in the red, from 45 winners and 53 losers and 2 breakevens out of 100 selections for the 12th series of fun bets. Got foxed and hammered by oil, have to start afresh with ftse trading for the new series.

07:23am, 17-02-12, highlighted my fun long 5913 on ftse.

07:21am, 17-02-12, oil short chopped, so that is 1103 pounds in the red, from 45 winners and 52 losers and 2 breakevens out of 99 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

17:31pm, 16-02-12, highlighted my fun short on nymex 10227.

17:29pm, 16-02-12, lost the short, so that is 1028 pounds in the red, from 45 winners and 51 losers and 2 breakevens out of 98 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

08:25am, 16-02-12, lost 48 quid, and highlighted my fun short 5842, so that is 928 pounds in the red, from 45 winners and 50 losers and 2 breakevens out of 97 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

20:43pm, 15-02-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5865.

20:06pm, 15-02-12, lost the long, so that is 880 pounds in the red, from 45 winners and 49 losers and 2 breakevens out of 96 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

14:10pm, 15-02-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5906.

13:15pm, 15-02-12, got spiked out on the oil short, so that is 780 pounds in the red, from 45 winners and 48 losers and 2 breakevens out of 95 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

12:12pm, 15-02-12, nicked 20 quid from the ftse long, so that is 680 pounds in the red, from 45 winners and 47 losers and 2 breakevens out of 94 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

11:33am, 15-02-12, highlighted my fun short on nymex 10150, target 9880, with ftse long now locked in.

11:01am, 15-02-12, grabbed 69 quid on the oil long, so that is 700 pounds in the red, from 44 winners and 47 losers and 2 breakevens out of 93 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

08:26am, 15-02-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5904, as the oil long is now locked.

18:56pm, 14-02-12, highlighted my fun long 10082 on nymex.

18:53pm, 14-02-12, lost another 50 quid, so that is 769 pounds in the red, from 43 winners and 47 losers and 2 breakevens out of 92 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

18:10pm, 14-02-12, lost the long, now highlighted my fun short 10044 on nymex, so that is 719 pounds in the red, from 43 winners and 46 losers and 2 breakevens out of 91 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

12:36pm, 14-02-12, chopped that short for 5 quid and highlighted my fun long on nynex 10150, so that is 619 pounds in the red, from 43 winners and 45 losers and 2 breakevens out of 90 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

10:58am, 14-02-12, lost that short for 98 quid, highlighted another fun short on nymex 10052, so that is 614 pounds in the red, from 43 winners and 44 losers and 2 breakevens out of 89 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

07:37am, 14-02-12, highlighted my fun short on nymex 10057.

07:16am, 14-02-12, grabbed 78 quid, disappointed, so that is 516 pounds in the red, from 43 winners and 43 losers and 2 breakevens out of 88 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

07:21am, 13-02-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9966.

06:46am, 13-02-12, lost the oil short for 80 quid, so that is 594 pounds in the red, from 42 winners and 43 losers and 2 breakevens out of 87 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

11:33am, 11-02-12, some weekly reflections as follows:

"

Still searching for that purple run. Had a hit and miss sort of week again and the fun bet series is still just over 500 quid in red (was improving to under 400 quid in the red, then

it went pear-shaped again). Oil trading is fascinating though, it is rather a mechanical process, with every human-ness punished, like impatience, guessing, etc. It is just so programmed that I am still very keen on trading oil to riches, lol.

There is one piece of good news this morning, as I realised that I can now send the charts in the messages again. It has been a pain to do it as attachment. Well, there is a silver lining to every cloud.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5940-5730 (actual: 5916-5839);

SPX 500: 1345-1300 (actual: 1356-1334);

Nymex: $100-$94.10 (actual: $100.18-$95.85);

Gold: $1754-$1702 (actual: $1753-$1705);

Silver: $33.85-$30.05 (actual: $34.52-$33.00);

BP: 502-470 pence (actual: 498-480 pence);

Barclays: 252-213 pence (actual: 245-225 pence).

Well, pinned that gold forecast, that must be one of the most accurate weekly forecasts in the world, haha.

Have a nice weekend, folks."

17:45pm, 10-02-12, highlighted my fun short on nymex 9842.

15:50pm, 10-02-12, banked 42 quid, so that is 514 pounds in the red, from 42 winners and 42 losers and 2 breakevens out of 86 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

15:02pm, 10-02-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9784.

14:42pm, 10-02-12, lost 14 quid, so that is 556 pounds in the red, from 41 winners and 42 losers and 2 breakevens out of 85 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

13:19pm, 10-02-12, highlighted my fun short 5847 on ftse.

13:18pm, 10-02-12, chopped for 39 quid, so that is 542 pounds in the red, from 41 winners and 41 losers and 2 breakevens out of 84 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

12:50pm, 10-02-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9854.

12:46pm, 10-02-12, chopped for 8 quid, so that is 503 pounds in the red, from 41 winners and 40 losers and 2 breakevens out of 83 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

12:38pm, 10-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5849.

12:35pm, 10-02-12, lost that one, so that is 495 pounds in the red, from 41 winners and 39 losers and 2 breakevens out of 82 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

10:52am, 10-02-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9880.

10:44am, 10-02-12, lost 14 quid, so that is 445 pounds in the red, from 41 winners and 38 losers and 2 breakevens out of 81 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

08:26am, 10-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5870.

20:31pm, 09-02-12, lost that one, stoploss was too tight, so that is 431 pounds in the red, from 41 winners and 37 losers and 2 breakevens out of 80 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

18:24pm, 09-02-12, highlighted my fun long 9979 on nymex.

17:48pm, 09-02-12, chopped for 8 quid, so that is 406 pounds in the red, from 41 winners and 36 losers and 2 breakevens out of 79 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

15:43pm, 09-02-12, highlighted my fun short on nymex 9976.

15:40pm, 09-02-12, banked 16 quid, so that is 398 pounds in the red, from 41 winners and 35 losers and 2 breakevens out of 78 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

13:40pm, 09-02-12, highlighted my fun short 5898 on ftse.

13:17pm, 09-02-12, got spiked out, so that is 414 pounds in the red, from 40 winners and 35 losers and 2 breakevens out of 77 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

10:16am, 09-02-12, highlighted my fun short on nymex 9921.

10:14am, 09-02-12, banked 12 quid, so that is 364 pounds in the red, from 40 winners and 34 losers and 2 breakevens out of 76 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

08:38am, 09-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5894 on GS.

08:35am, 09-02-12, nicked a tenner, so that is 376 pounds in the red, from 39 winners and 34 losers and 2 breakevens out of 75 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

06:32am, 09-02-12, highlighted my fun short on nymex 9910 on GS.

19:47pm, 08-02-12, grabbed 30 quid, so that is 386 pounds in the red, from 38 winners and 34 losers and 2 breakevens out of 74 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

16:22pm, 08-02-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9850 on GS.

15:33pm, 08-02-12, banked 14 quid, so that is 416 pounds in the red, from 37 winners and 34 losers and 2 breakevens out of 73 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

14:33pm, 08-02-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5888 on GS (guaranteed stoploss, recommended today and violatile markets).

14:05pm, 08-02-12, grabbed 47 quid so that is 430 pounds in the red, from 36 winners and 34 losers and 2 breakevens out of 72 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

08:40am, 08-02-12, highlighted my fun long 9935 on nymex.

08:24am, 08-02-12, nicked a tenner, so that is 477 pounds in the red, from 35 winners and 34 losers and 2 breakevens out of 71 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

07:48am, 08-02-12, highlighted my fun short 5908 on ftse.

07:20am, 08-02-12, banked 34 quid, so that is 487 pounds in the red, from 34 winners and 34 losers and 2 breakevens out of 70 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

19:22pm, 07-02-12, highlighted my fun long 9878 on nymex.

16:37pm, 07-02-12, banked 42 quid, so that is 521 pounds in the red, from 33 winners and 34 losers and 2 breakevens out of 69 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

16:09pm, 07-02-12, highlighted my fun short 9880 on nymex.

15:44pm, 07-02-12, lost 50 quid, so that is 563 pounds in the red, from 32 winners and 34 losers and 2 breakevens out of 68 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

15:35pm, 07-02-12, highlighted my fun short 9773 on nymex.

15:32pm, 07-02-12, nicked 6 quid, so that is 513 pounds in the red, from 32 winners and 33 losers and 2 breakevens out of 67 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

15:13pm, 07-02-12, highlighted my fun long 5865 on ftse.

14:46pm, 07-02-12, banked 77 quid, so that is 519 pounds in the red, from 31 winners and 33 losers and 2 breakevens out of 66 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

12:54pm, 07-02-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9608.

12:33pm, 07-02-12, lost 35 quid on the oil long, so that is 596 pounds in the red, from 30 winners and 33 losers and 2 breakevens out of 65 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

11:31am, 07-02-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9633.

11:24am, 07-02-12, banked 32 quid, so that is 561 pounds in the red, from 30 winners and 32 losers and 2 breakevens out of 64 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

08:13am, 07-02-12, highlighted my fun short 5893 on ftse.

08:12am, 07-02-11, chopped for 28 quid loss, so that is 593 pounds in the red, from 29 winners and 32 losers and 2 breakevens out of 63 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

07:40am, 07-02-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9728.

07:37am, 07-02-12, lost 45 quid, so that is 565 pounds in the red, from 29 winners and 31 losers and 2 breakevens out of 62 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

09:42am, 06-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5878 on guaranteed stoplosses.

09:15am, 06-02-12, banked 48 quid, so that is 520 pounds in the red, from 29 winners and 30 losers and 2 breakevens out of 61 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

06:46am, 06-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5890, for 5845 limit, for a quick opening scalp.

09:17am, 03-02-12, some weekly reflections as follows:

"Sometimes you can only laugh at the fairness in life. After several years studying the markets, I am quite sure from time to time I can see the future, fairly accurately, too!

But somehow, there seems to be a cunning logic in there that if you can see into the future, then you may not be able to cash in on that insight. Alas, why allow me to peep into the future while not allowing me to make some good money out of it! I can only laught with bursts of tears, no sadness at heart, plenty of torments between joy and pain in my

soul.

I had the perfect map for Friday in the morning studies and we had the perfect upstream mooriver to be crossed from the lowerbank to the upperbank. But a jittery moment

on the observation of oil (which was correct, but didn't impact on ftse in the same way) pushed me to jump out of the best-priced long on ftse into a stupidified short. The rest is history and the fun bets are now 568 quid in the red.

While there is a block between the mooriverwatcher and moorivertrader, there are two rules which I must stick to, no open positions on oil (meaning either no positions or no unlocked positions) before the oil inventory news on Wednesday and same applies to all major news event, like the non-farm payroll. I seem to have this gambler's streak in daring these major newsflow and try to grab a piece of the thrill in beating the markets in a big way, well, it often turns out to be the wrong way.

In terms of trading, ideally, should trade the perfect moorivers whenever available. But I am going to give the oil trades a bit more time, as by trading oil, I was becoming really flexible both ways and nimbler than before. It seems that trading indices often links one's perceptions about reality while trading something like oil is just pure technical trading, which is what trading ought to be, really. I believe I have got the mooriver map for oil for February and beyond, so I will trade oil for the coming week with the occasional ftse trades when there is a good crossing opportunity there like Friday.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5650-5800 (actual: 5651-5922);

Dow: 12818-12430 (actual: 12869-12530);

Nymex: $100-$91.70 (actual: $101.29-$95.45);

Euro/dollar: $1.3300-$1.3000 (actual: $1.3218-$1.3026);

Gold: $1756-$1683 (actual: $1763-$1717);

BP: 452-470 pence (actual: 455-487 pence);

Barclays: 224-205 pence (actual: 238-210 pence).

Well, I had seen some of the future last weekend. The main problem for me was Iran's threat of barring some countries from buying its oil, that was the one thing that I should have ignored!

I can only laugh, at myself, really and hopefully, one day, I will be laughing at the markets.

Have a nice weekend, folks."

20:59pm, 03-02-12, lost that one, so that is 568 pounds in the red, from 28 winners and 30 losers and 2 breakevens out of 60 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

14:08pm, 03-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5866.

14:06pm, 03-02-12, lost 6 quid, so that is 468 pounds in the red, from 28 winners and 29 losers and 2 breakevens out of 59 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

13:51pm, 03-02-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9693.

13:47pm, 03-02-12, lost the 50 quid on the spike, so that is 462 pounds in the red, from 28 winners and 28 losers and 2 breakevens out of 58 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

11:21am, 03-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5822.

10:59am, 03-02-12, banked 50 quid, so that is 412 pounds in the red, from 28 winners and 27 losers and 2 breakevens out of 57 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

08:43am, 03-02-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5795.

08:39am, 03-02-12, lost 4 quid, not going anywhere, so that is 462 pounds in the red, from 27 winners and 27 losers and 2 breakevens out of 56 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

07:37am, 03-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5790.

17:47pm, 02-02-12, banked 20 quid, so that is 458 pounds in the red, from 27 winners and 26 losers and 2 breakevens out of 55 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

14:37pm, 02-02-12, highlighted my fun short 5795 on ftse.

14:25pm, 02-02-12, lost 12 quid, so that is 478 pounds in the red, from 26 winners and 26 losers and 2 breakevens out of 54 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

14:01pm, 02-02-12, higlighted my fun short 5789 on ftse.

13:51pm, 02-02-12, banked 14 quid, so that is 466 pounds in the red, from 26 winners and 25 losers and 2 breakevens out of 53 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

12:29pm, 02-02-12, higlighted my fun long on ftse 5780.

12:06pm, 02-02-12, nicked 12 quid, so that is 480 pounds in the red, from 25 winners and 25 losers and 2 breakevens out of 52 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

11:54am, 02-02-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5781.

11:49am, 02-02-12, nicked 12 quid, so that is 492 pounds in the red, from 24 winners and 25 losers and 2 breakevens out of 51 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

11:19am, 02-02-12, highlighted my fun long 5775 on ftse.

11:11am, 02-02-12, banked 16 quid on the ftse short, so that is 504 pounds in the red, from 23 winners and 25 losers and 2 breakevens out of 50 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

15:52pm, 01-02-12, chopped the oil short for 73 quid and highlighted my fun short on ftse 5786, so that is 520 pounds in the red, from 22 winners and 25 losers and 2 breakevens out of 49 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

14:50pm, 01-02-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9893.

13:12pm, 01-02-12, come out at breakeven, so that is 447 pounds in the red, from 22 winners and 24 losers and 2 breakevens out of 48 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

08:23am, 01-02-12, grabbed 34 quid on ftse long, so that is 447 pounds in the red, from 22 winners and 24 losers and 1 breakeven out of 47 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

08:17am, 01-02-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9883.

19:51pm, 31-01-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5705.

19:40pm, 31-01-12, lost a fiver there, so that is 481 pounds in the red, from 21 winners and 24 losers and 1 breakeven out of 46 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

19:35pm, 31-01-12, highlighted my fun long 9830 on nymex.

19:32pm, 31-01-12, lost that one, so that is 476 pounds in the red, from 21 winners and 23 losers and 1 breakeven out of 45 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

16:15pm, 31-01-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9890.

16:12pm, 31-01-12, got stopped out at breakeven, what a miserable day, so that is 376 pounds in the red, from 20 winners and 23 losers and 1 breakeven out of 44 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

07:37am, 30-01-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9895.

20:55pm, 28-01-12, done all seven reports now, after the doji, what happens next?

09:08am, 28-01-12, some weekly reflections:

"Well, it has been a miserable week. The potential of oil trading is so obvious and for the first two days, could have made so much more money on the fun bets. But alas, in this spreadbetting game, the key is not about winning money, but about not losing big on mistakes and a tiny breach on a stoploss triggered a series of wrong decisions on the oil trades. And the fun bets ended on 376 quid in the red. Still, I am going to experiment with the combo of ftse and oil trades, avoiding ftse on Tuesdays and oil on Wednesdays--the two most lethal days for these two markets respectively.

Our MF is sticking to his recovery plays and sending me the timely alerts, which are very much appreciated. Our J is still keeping an eye on the Bradley turndates for us all. But I am going to award our MS as the Mootrader of the Week, as he has stormed back from holidays to grab some good money on the markets. Well done, MS, and welcome back.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

NYMEX: $101.60-$92.50 (actual: $101.39-$97.45, I rest my case there, alas, it is all about trading it that matters!);

Gold: $1710-$1640 (actual: $1740-$1649);

Euro/dollar: $1.3000-$1.2580 (actual: $1.2882-$1.3234, surprised to be foxed by the euro, it was actually quite an obvious one);

BP: 470-447 pence (actual: 481-464 pence);

Barclays: 232-190 pence (actual: 228-212 pence);

FTSE 100: 5800-5640 (actual: 5807-5691);

Dow: 12800-12400 (actual: 12840-12577).

Without that Wednesday, it would have been a great week, I am sure. But trading is all about these key days, Tuesdays for FTSE and Wednesdays for oil, either you avoid them or you must not make big mistakes. A mistake or two, it all adds up to a miserable week. Still looking out for that successful purple week!

Have a nice weekend, folks."

19:56pm, 27-01-12, chopped for 6 quid, so that is 376 pounds in the red, from 20 winners and 23 losers out of 43 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

18:34pm, 27-01-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5735.

18:11pm, 27-01-12, banked 60 quid, so that is 370 pounds in the red, from 20 winners and 22 losers out of 42 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

16:27pm, 27-01-12, highlighted my fun short on nymex 10022.

15:54pm, 27-01-12, banked 15 quid, so that is 430 pounds in the red, from 19 winners and 22 losers out of 41 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

14:52pm, 27-01-12, highlighted my fun short near 10018 on nymex.

14:18pm, 27-01-12, banked 62 quid, so that is 445 pounds in the red, from 18 winners and 22 losers out of 40 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

07:19am, 27-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5768.

20:21pm, 26-01-12, banked 34 quid, so that is 507 pounds in the red, from 17 winners and 22 losers out of 39 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

16:14pm, 26-01-12, highlighted my fun short 5789 on ftse.

15:55pm, 26-01-12, lost a quid, so that is 541 pounds in the red, from 16 winners and 22 losers out of 38 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

13:37pm, 26-01-12, highlighted my fun short 10062 on nymex.

13:35pm, 26-01-12, chopped for 36 quid, so that is 540 pounds in the red, from 16 winners and 21 losers out of 37 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

12:27pm, 26-01-12, highlighted my fun short 5782 on ftse.

12:24pm, 26-01-12, lost that short, so that is 504 pounds in the red, from 16 winners and 20 losers out of 36 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

18:54pm, 25-01-12, highlighted my fun short on nymex 9978.

18:47pm, 25-01-12, lost that one too on the spike, so that is 404 pounds in the red, from 16 winners and 19 losers out of 35 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

17:38pm, 25-01-12, highlighted my fun short 9937 on nymex.

17:13pm, 25-01-12, banked 46 quid, so that is 304 pounds in the red, from 16 winners and 18 losers out of 34 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

16:24pm, 25-01-12, highlighted my fun short on nymex 9920.

16:10pm, 25-01-12, lost that one too, so that is 350 pounds in the red, from 15 winners and 18 losers out of 33 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

15:38pm, 25-01-12, highlighted my fun short on nymex 9800.

15:30pm, 25-01-12, lost the oil long, so that is 250 pounds in the red, from 15 winners and 17 losers out of 32 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

18:22pm, 24-01-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9862.

18:20pm, 24-01-12, banked 2 quid, while oil moved almost another 100 pointer, hopefully will leave ftse alone now, so that is 150 pounds in the red, from 15 winners and 16 losers out of 31 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

16:35pm, 24-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse near 5746.

14:58pm, 24-01-12, banked a massive 7 quid and missed out on a 100 pointer run on oil, need to stay focused on oil, so that is 152 pounds in the red, from 14 winners and 16 losers out of 30 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

12:35pm, 24-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5735.

12:24pm, 24-01-12, grabbed 7 quid, not entirely convinced of the bull story either, so that is 159 pounds in the red, from 13 winners and 16 losers out of 29 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

11:16am, 24-01-12, highlighted my fun long 9916 on nymex.

10:07am, 24-01-12, banked 27 quid, not the greatest entry, so happy with that scalp, so that is 166 pounds in the red, from 12 winners and 16 losers out of 28 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

19:48pm, 23-01-12, highlighted my fun short 9960 on Nymex.

16:46pm, 23-01-12, banked 12 quid, miserable, should have stayed on oil, so that is 193 pounds in the red, from 11 winners and 16 losers out of 27 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

11:56am, 23-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5770.

09:37am, 23-01-12, grabbed 60 quid, trading oil is more fun, I think, so that is 205 pounds in the red, from 10 winners and 16 losers out of 26 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

07:27am, 23-01-12, fun limit long on nymex kicked in at 9777. now looking for a ride to 100.

19:47pm, 21-01-12, done all seven reports, looking forward to trading oil in the coming week. Have a nice weekend, folks.

07:23am, 21-01-12, some weekly reflections:

"

Ended the week on a nice oil short, which set my pulse racing for the Black Beauty. I am going to give the oil trades a go for the coming week and see how it pans out. With oil trades, must use guaranteed stoploss either way, to be on the safe side. I am looking forward to the coming week with a thumping heart. Overall, still got stuck in the mud with index trading, which caused the fun bet series to be stuck in the red for £265. But if you can trade oil, trade well, then things could be turned around fairly quickly. I have got the mooriver map laid out for oil for the coming week and let's wait and see how it pans out.

I have to say our MF has got onto the moostar podium again. His recovery share play is working out very well for him (e.g., JJB and HMV etc). I am thinking of devoting a small fund to his recovery plays. I wasn't sure whether you folks would be interested in such plays, but I might pass on his alerts now, for you to consider in your own terms. So well done, MF, you are our moostar of the week.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes (which have gone badly wrong this week):

FTSE 100: 5630-5380 (actual: 5762-5602);

Dow: 12451-12050 (actual: 12723-12386);

NYMEX: $101.50-$85.80 (actual: $102.24-$98.02);

Gold: $1639-$1460 (actual: $1670-$1632);

Euro/dollar: $1.2681-$1.1830(actual: $1.2986-$1.2626);

Barclays: 200-177 pence (actual: 228-196 pence);

BP: 476-440 pence (actual: 488-466).

Well, I did have some hesitations once I got the forecast on oil, if you recall, about the ultra-bearish forecasts on everything else. I used the logic on euro/dollar, which I pencilled in a breakdown and that never came true. And the other markets had a breakout, like Barclays, which I found difficult to forecast (swallow) before it actually happened! Should have a better week to come now.

Have a nice weekend, folks."

19:18pm, 20-01-12, nice and easy 100 quid, maybe should trade oil more, so that is 265 pounds in the red, from 9 winners and 16 losers out of 25 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

16:10pm, 20-01-12, highlighted my fun long on nymex 9820, lost the previous one, too tight a stoploss, so that is 365 pounds in the red, from 8 winners and 16 losers out of 24 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

15:59pm, 20-01-12, highlighted my fun long 9839 on nymex.

15:55pm, 20-01-12, banked 24 quid, so that is 325 pounds in the red, from 8 winners and 15 losers out of 23 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

06:47am, 20-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5744.

20:31pm, 19-01-12, chopped for 14 quid, so that is 349 pounds in the red, from 7 winners and 15 losers out of 22 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

13:49pm, 19-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5734.

13:49pm, 19-01-12, banked 50 quid, so that is 335 pounds in the red, from 7 winners and 14 losers out of 21 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

10:33am, 19-01-12, chopped for 16 quid, and highlighted a fun long on ftse 5708, so that is 385 pounds in the red, from 6 winners and 14 losers out of 20 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

10:01am, 19-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5700.

09:59am, 19-01-12, lost 18 quid, so that is 369 pounds in the red, from 6 winners and 13 losers out of 19 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

09:48am, 19-01-12, higlighted my fun long on ftse 5711.

09:36am, 19-01-12, chopped for 40 quid, so that is 351 pounds in the red, from 6 winners and 12 losers out of 18 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

07:44am, 18-01-12, highlighted my fun short 5691 on ftse.

19:31pm, 17-01-12, chopped that short, so that is 311 pounds in the red, from 6 winners and 11 losers out of 17 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

15:43pm, 17-01-12, highlighted my fun short 5678 on ftse.

15:38pm, 17-01-12, chopped for 30 quid, so that is 297 pounds in the red, from 6 winners and 10 losers out of 16 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

12:21pm, 17-01-12, highlighted my fun long 5697 on ftse.

12:15pm, 17-01-12, bagged 50 quid, when the limit at 5685 was hit while I was having a long walk, beauty, so that is 267 pounds in the red, from 6 winners and 9 losers out of 15 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

07:31am, 17-01-12, limit short order kicked in at 5710 on ftse.

06:26am, 17-01-12, lost that one, so that is 317 pounds in the red, from 5 winners and 9 losers out of 14 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

16:23pm, 15-01-12, taking off the Dow report now, the weekend is almost lingeringly over, now let's get ready, steady, trade! Good luck all.

19:17pm, 14-01-12, done all seven reports now, chill out for the weekend. A V shaped week to come, I think.

13:58pm, 14-01-12, some weekly reflections in the following:

"Well, had a very poor week. I am surprised that I actually got bogged down by a flat yoyoing zone. Well, maybe, I turned bearish a bit too early. My eyes were on prices again, which was wrong. So the 12th Series had a poor start, now £215 in the red.

I am going to award our Mooartist MF as the moostar of the week, as he pinned the turning date to Friday the 13th. Wish I didn't switch onto Barclays for a bad mistake, as that share seems to be on steroids these days. Well done, MF, keep them inspirations coming.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5820-5550 (actual: 5712-5581);

Dow: 12220-12900 (actual: 12307-12523);

Gold: $1560-$1700 (actual: $1605-$1662);

Barclays: 220-175 pence (actual: 201-177 pence);

BP: 450-490 pence (actual: 469-482 pence);

Nymex: $106-$98 (actual: $103.41-$97.71);

Euro/dollar: $1.3070-$1.2520 (actual: $1.2879-$1.2624).

Well, more or less hitting the nails now, but still could be better. Only two weeks into 2012, so more improvement to come.

Have a nice weekend, folks."

16:30pm, 13-01-12, highlighted my fun short 5622 on ftse.

16:09pm, 13-01-12, banked 38 quid, so that is 215 pounds in the red, from 5 winners and 8 losers out of 13 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

15:30pm, 13-01-12, highlighted my fun long 5600.

15:23pm, 13-01-12, lost 60 quid, so that is 253 pounds in the red, from 4 winners and 8 losers out of 12 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

14:38pm, 13-01-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5617.

14:05pm, 13-01-12, chopped for 6 quid, not happy with it, so that is 193 pounds in the red, from 4 winners and 7 losers out of 11 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

12:13pm, 13-01-12, highlighted my fun short on Barclays Bank at 199p.

12:09pm, 13-01-12, lost 4 quid, so that is 187 pounds in the red, from 4 winners and 6 losers out of 10 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

16:40pm, 12-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5667.

15:54pm, 12-01-12, grabbed a tenner, so that is 183 pounds in the red, from 4 winners and 5 losers out of 9 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

14:20pm, 11-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5655.

12:18pm, 11-01-12, grabbed 60 quid, so that is 193 pounds in the red, from 3 winners and 5 losers out of 8 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

07:17am, 11-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5684.

19:16pm, 10-01-12, grabbed 28 quid, no fun being a bear either, so that is 253 pounds in the red, from 2 winners and 5 losers out of 7 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

15:22pm, 10-01-12, lost 8 quid, and highlighted my fun short 5704 on ftse, so that is 281 pounds in the red, from 1 winner and 5 losers out of 6selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

15:09pm, 10-01-12, highlighted my fun long 5708 on ftse.

15:06pm, 10-01-12, lost 26 quid, so that is 273 pounds in the red, from 1 winner and 4 losers out of 5 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

13:47pm, 10-01-12, highlighted my fun short 5697 on ftse.

13:42pm, 10-01-12, lost 60 quid, so that is 247 pounds in the red, from 1 winner and 3 losers out of 4 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

11:58am, 10-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5670, tighter stoploss.

11:53am, 10-01-12, only nicked 14 quid, how boring that is, so that is 187 pounds in the red, from 1 winner and 2 losers out of 3 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

07:31am, 10-01-12, highlighted my fun long 5662 on ftse.

07:25am, 10-01-12, lost that short, so it is 201 pounds in the red, from 2 losers out of 2 selections for the 12th series of fun bets.

15:04pm, 09-01-12, lost that one, highglighted my fun short on ftse 5613, so that is 100 pounds in the red, from 1 loser out of 1 selection for the 12th series of fun bets. A bad start.

08:07am, 09-01-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5666.

17:23pm, 08-01-12, taking off the dow report now, ready, steady, trade. Another exciting week to come and another new series of fun bets to be called from Monday onwards. Actually, set up a limit order on euro/dollar already.

16:37pm, 07-01-12, all seven reports done, what a week to come! take care, folks.

06:43am, 07-01-12, new members are welcome to join the Club from today onwards. Weekends is the best time to join, as you will receive all seven reports on various markets, giving you plenty of time to plan your trading for the coming week.

22:01pm, 06-01-12, some weekly reflections:

Well, we had a funny sort of week as I took some time to settle back into trading after the break. In the end, the 11th Series of fun bets ended on £678 in profit over a duration of two months. After the exciting 9th Series ending over 1000 pounds in profit and a disastrous 10th Series deeply in red, this is normality returned. The simplified trading system has worked to a reasonable level of satisfaction, as it reduces market noises and human greed by a large extent. Still some tinkering to be done, but this simplified version of Moorivertrading System should deliver the 1000 pounds profit per series from here onwards. I hope so, anyway.

I am awarding our MS as the moostar trader of the week, as he had a good run on suk2, after his holidays. Welcome back, mate, well done.

Let's have a look at the forecasts and outcomes:

FTSE 100: 5620-5400 (actual: 5721-5611);

Dow: 12300-11020 (actual: 12484-12285);

Euro/dollar: $1.3000-$1.2750 (actual: $1.3077-$1.2698);

Nymex: $100-$83.60 (actual: $103.74-$99.79);

Gold: $1585-$1355 (actual: $1631-$1567);

BP: 476-398 pence (actual: 484-461 pence);

Barclays: 181-156 pence (actual: 191-178 pence).

It is not too bad a bunch of forecasts, as the first week in a new year is always a shot into the darkness.

Have a nice weekend, folks.

19:56pm 06-01-12, banked 22 quid, very disappointed, but the market makers are having a larf, so that is 678 quid in profit, from 58 winners and 38 losers and 4 breakevens out of 100 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets. Well, we kick off a new series in the coming week.

14:05pm, 06-01-12, highlighted my fun short 5663 on ftse.

13:38pm, 06-01-12, banked 78 quid, so that is 656 quid in profit, from 57 winners and 38 losers and 4 breakevens out of 99 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets.

08:06am, 06-01-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5633.

19:56pm, 05-01-12, come out at breakeven, so that is 578 quid in profit, from 56 winners and 38 losers and 4 breakevens out of 98 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets.

18:30pm, 05-01-12, highlighted my fun short 12414 on dow, for 12360 target, expecting further rises tomorrow towards 12550/12600ish on non-farm payroll.

16:43pm, 05-01-12, grabbed 28 quid, so that is 578 quid in profit, from 56 winners and 38 losers and 3 breakeven out of 97 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets.

15:23pm, 05-1-12, highlighted my fun long on dow 12341.

15:14pm, 05-01-12, banked 20 quid, so that is 550 quid in profit, from 55 winners and 38 losers and 3 breakeven out of 96 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets.

12:32pm, 05-01-12, highlighted my fun short 5642 on ftse.

11:16am, 05-01-12, nicked 2 quid, so that is 530 quid in profit, from 54 winners and 38 losers and 3 breakeven out of 95 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets.

10:43am, 05-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5628.

10:41am, 05-01-12, chopped that one, so that is 528 quid in profit, from 53 winners and 38 losers and 3 breakeven out of 94 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets.

10:28am, 05-01-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5638, tighter stoploss.

10:18am, 05-01-12, banked 38 quid, not going great guns, so that is 548 quid in profit, from 53 winners and 37 losers and 3 breakeven out of 93 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets.

08:31am, 05-01-12, lost that one and highlighted my fun short on ftse 5655, so that is 510 quid in profit, from 52 winners and 37 losers and 3 breakeven out of 92 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets.

07:38am, 05-01-12, highlighted my fun long on ftse 5683, tighter stoploss.

21:00pm, 04-01-12, chopped that for a tenner, it is not going the right way, so that is 560 quid in profit, from 52 winners and 36 losers and 3 breakeven out of 91 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets.

18:16pm, 04-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5686.

15:43pm, 04-01-12, chopped that short, so that is 570 quid in profit, from 52 winners and 35 losers and 3 breakeven out of 90 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets.

12:39pm, 04-01-12, grabbed 28 quid on the new ftse short, so that is 590 quid in profit, from 52 winners and 34 losers and 3 breakeven out of 89 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets.

08:19am, 04-01-12, highlighted my second fun short 5716 on ftse.

11:39am, 03-01-12, highlighted my fun short on ftse 5644.

09:00am, 03-01-12, banked 66 quid, that is a winning start to 2012, so that is 562 quid in profit, from 51 winners and 34 losers and 3 breakeven out of 88 fun bets in the 11th series of fun bets.

07:38am, 03-01-12, highlighted my fun short 5671 on ftse.

21:02pm, 01-01-12, taking off the Dow report now, as we are ready to trade again. How exciting! The first week in the new year is more for observation. Good luck all.

09:06am, 01-01-12, Happy New Year, everyone, I wish you and your family enjoy a prosperous and healthy 2012!

 

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